Nico Collins: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 5 Texans Vs Falcons – October 8, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 4, 2023

The Houston Texans and Nico Collins will face the Atlanta Falcons at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday for a Week 5 NFL contest.

Nico Collins Player Props vs the Falcons

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
57.5 -115 +140
Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
57.5 -115 4.5 +110

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 3
Games w/ 1+ TDs 2
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1

Nico Collins’ Receiving Trends

  • Collins’ 428 receiving yards (107.0 per game) lead all receivers on the Texans. He’s been targeted 32 times and has collected 22 receptions and three touchdowns.
  • With 428 yards on 22 receptions, Collins ranks fourth in the league with 19.5 yards per catch this season.
  • Collins ranks sixth in the league with 428 receiving yards, and fourth with three receiving TDs.

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This Week’s Predictions

Collins (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Falcons (2023) Prediction
57.5+ Receiving Yards 75% 23.1% 20% 54.8%
1+ Receiving TDs 50% 20.3% 25.0% 40%
2+ Receiving TDs 25% 3.5% 5.0% 17.3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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