NFL action in Week 5 will see the Tennessee Titans and Derrick Henry hit the field against the Indianapolis Colts at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Derrick Henry Player Props vs the Colts
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76.5 | -115 | 11.5 | -115 |
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.5 | -115 | 11.5 | -115 | 17.5 | -130 | 1.5 | -166 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 2 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 2 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Derrick Henry’s Rushing Trends
- Henry has a team-high 285 rushing yards (71.3 per game) and two touchdowns.
- He averages 3.9 rushing yards per attempt, 26th in the league.
- Henry has put up 285 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns to rank eighth and 12th, respectively, in those categories.
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Henry’s Receiving Trends
- Henry has also caught six passes for 82 yards (20.5 per game).
- Henry averages 13.7 yards per catch (82 yards on six receptions) this season.
This Week’s Predictions
| Henry (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Colts (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.5+ Rushing Yards | 50% | 20.7% | 33.3% | 42.2% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 50% | 31.3% | 44.4% | 46.3% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9.6% | 22.2% | 6.8% |
| 11.5+ Receiving Yards | 50% | 86.6% | 90.5% | 64.7% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 20.3% | 23.8% | 8.5% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.5% | 0% | 0.4% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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