The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins play in Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series at Citizens Bank Park, Wednesday at 8:08 PM ET. The Phillies have a 1-0 series lead as they look to advance to the NLDS.
The Phillies are favored at home (-156) against the Marlins (+131). The contest has a set total of 8.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of October 4, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -156 | +131 | 8 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 66, or 60%, of the 110 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Philadelphia has won 31 of its 49 games, or 63.3%, when favored by at least -156 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 60.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of 163 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 74-89-0 ATS in their 163 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 41, or 46.6%, of the 88 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Miami has a mark of 12-19 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +131 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 43.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 163 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 73-90-0 against the spread in their 163 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 14-18-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, Sept. 26, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Nola has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 32 chances this season.
- Nola’s team has a record of 15-7 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Nola’s team has won 19 of his 32 starts.
- In Nola’s 32 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 19 times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 71 | 69 | 94 | 3.26 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 68 | 60.1 | 65 | 4.62 | 24 | 3 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 57 | 50 | 48 | 3.78 | 14 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 53 | 52.1 | 69 | 2.41 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Moore | 49 | 52.2 | 60 | 2.56 | 22 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett (9-7 with a 3.66 ERA and 156 strikeouts in 159 2/3 innings pitched) tries for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Marlins, his 30th of the season.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday, Sept. 27, the left-hander tossed four innings against the New York Mets, giving up four earned runs while surrendering three hits.
- Garrett will look to pick up his 24th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
- In seven of his 31 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Garrett’s starts this season, and they went 8-5 in those matchups.
- Garrett’s team has put together a 20-9 record in his 29 starts.
- Garrett has had 29 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 14 of those matchups.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 69 | 78 | 104 | 2.31 | 24 | 12 |
| David Robertson | 62 | 65.1 | 78 | 3.03 | 10 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 60 | 57.1 | 73 | 2.67 | 17 | 3 |
| Dylan Floro | 59 | 56.2 | 58 | 4.76 | 9 | 7 |
| Steven Okert | 58 | 58.2 | 73 | 4.45 | 12 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 46-16 record in games this season when they smash two or more homers.
- Philadelphia is 35-10 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 106 times this season, and has a 69-37 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 68-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 50 games this season and are 28-22 in those matchups.
- Miami has gone 28-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 69 of the 116 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 72 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 58-14.
- In 37 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 24-13
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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