The Milwaukee Brewers are at home for Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series versus the Arizona Diamondbacks, Wednesday at 7:08 PM ET. The Diamondbacks have a 1-0 series lead as they aim to move on to the NLDS.
The Diamondbacks are an underdog (+111 moneyline odds to win) when they take on the Brewers (-132). The contest has an over/under of 7.5.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of October 4, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -132 | +111 | 7.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 91 games this season and won 53 (58.2%) of those contests.
- This season Milwaukee has won 36 of its 59 games, or 61%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 73 of its 163 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 83-80-0 in 163 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 88 games this year and have walked away with the win 41 times (46.6%) in those games.
- Arizona has a mark of 25-31 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 72 of its 163 opportunities.
- In 163 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 89-74-0 against the spread.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta’s team is 15-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, Sept. 24, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed nine hits in three innings against the Miami Marlins.
- Peralta has 28 starts of five or more innings this season in 30 chances. He averages 5.5 innings per outing.
- In 30 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Peralta’s team is 13-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Peralta’s team has won 17 of his 30 starts this season.
- Games started by Peralta have a 16-12-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 72 | 64.1 | 59 | 1.96 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 67 | 70.2 | 77 | 2.55 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 60 | 58.2 | 87 | 1.53 | 0 | 36 |
| Elvis Peguero | 58 | 61.1 | 54 | 3.38 | 21 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 53 | 76.2 | 61 | 2.58 | 5 | 3 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- Gallen (17-9) takes the mound first for the Diamondbacks in his 35th start of the season. He has a 3.47 ERA in 210 2/3 innings pitched, with 220 strikeouts.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty tossed 6 1/3 innings against the Houston Astros, allowing two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Gallen will try to build upon a 25-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per appearance).
- In eight of his 34 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Gallen’s starts this season, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
- In Gallen’s 34 starts, his team is 19-15.
- Gallen’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 18 of 34 games.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 72 | 64.2 | 60 | 4.31 | 13 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 65 | 60.2 | 80 | 3.12 | 0 | 34 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 60 | 65.1 | 70 | 2.48 | 8 | 4 |
| Joe Mantiply | 31 | 39 | 28 | 4.62 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan Thompson | 29 | 30.2 | 21 | 3.82 | 8 | 1 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have hit two or more homers in 57 games this season, and are 46-11 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 24 games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 85 games this season, and is 63-22 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is 73-11 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 43-13 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 49 games this season and are 35-14 in those matchups.
- Arizona has won 23 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 76-34 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 88 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 69-19.
- They have won 27 of their 52 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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