Rays vs. Rangers Prediction: AL Wild Card Game 2 Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – October 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 4, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays are at home for Game 2 of the AL Wild Card Series versus the Texas Rangers, Wednesday at 3:08 PM ET. The Rangers lead the series 1-0 as they aim to move on to the ALDS.

The Rays are a home favorite (-151) against the Rangers (+126). The contest has a set total of 7.5.

The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of October 4, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Rangers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -151 +126 7.5

Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have been favored 132 times and won 86, or 65.2%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 54-23, a 70.1% win rate, when favored by -151 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rays have a 60.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 89 of 163 chances this season.
  • In 163 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 90-73-0 ATS.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 13
ERA 5.00
K/9 10.1

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 26, or 49.1%, of the 53 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Texas has won eight of 20 games when listed as at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Texas and its opponents have gone over in 84 of its 163 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rangers are 87-76-0 against the spread in their 163 games that had a posted line this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 16
ERA 3.24
K/9 9

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin

  • When Eflin starts, his team is 17-14-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, Sept. 26, when he threw five innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Eflin will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • In 31 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
  • When Eflin starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 23-7.
  • Eflin’s team has won 23 of his 31 starts this season.
  • In Eflin’s 31 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 16 times.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Colin Poche 65 60.2 61 2.23 22 1
Jake Diekman 63 56.2 64 3.34 8 0
Robert Stephenson 59 52.1 77 3.1 15 1
Pete Fairbanks 49 45.1 68 2.58 2 25
Chris Devenski 38 42.1 42 4.68 10 0

Rangers Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi

  • Eovaldi (12-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 132 strikeouts in 144 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rangers, his 26th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Eovaldi has pitched five or more innings in a game 21 times this year heading into this matchup.
  • He has had eight appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rangers are 4-5 in Eovaldi’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Eovaldi’s team has a 15-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Eovaldi’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 14 of 25 games.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 63 82.2 81 4.03 8 1
Aroldis Chapman 59 58.1 103 3.09 14 6
Will Smith 59 57.1 55 4.4 8 22
José Leclerc 56 57 67 2.68 8 4
Brock Burke 52 59.2 52 4.37 12 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays are 52-17 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 37-3 in its 40 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 76-32 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • Tampa Bay has a 76-21 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rays have gone 30-9 in the 39 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 76 games this season and are 55-21 in those matchups.
  • Texas has gone 37-14 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 83 of the 123 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 102 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 78-24.
  • They have a 38-21 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Rangers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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