The Minnesota Twins host the Toronto Blue Jays in the second game of the AL Wild Card Series on Wednesday at 4:38 PM ET. The Twins have a 1-0 series lead and will aim to move on to the ALDS with a win.
The Blue Jays are an underdog (+122 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Twins (-146). The contest has a set total of 8.
The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of October 4, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -146 | +122 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 68, or 60.7%, of the 112 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota has a record of 37-30 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -146 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 81 of 163 chances this season.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 82-81-0 in 163 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.36 |
| K/9 | 12.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (53.5%) in those games.
- Toronto has a mark of 3-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of its 163 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays are 74-89-0 against the spread in their 163 games that had a posted line this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.75 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray and his team are 13-19-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in four innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
- Gray has 28 starts of five or more innings this season in 32 chances. He averages 5.8 innings per outing.
- He has seven appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 32 chances this season.
- Gray’s team has won 47.8% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-12).
- In games Gray has started, his team is 14-18.
- In games Gray has started this season, the teams are 13-17-2 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 70 | 65.1 | 68 | 3.72 | 23 | 4 |
| Emilio Pagán | 63 | 69.1 | 65 | 2.99 | 8 | 1 |
| Jorge López | 59 | 59 | 49 | 5.95 | 10 | 3 |
| Jhoan Duran | 59 | 62.1 | 84 | 2.45 | 1 | 27 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 36 | 30.2 | 36 | 3.23 | 14 | 0 |
Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Jose Berrios
- Berrios (11-12 with a 3.65 ERA and 184 strikeouts in 189 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 33rd of the season.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday against the New York Yankees, the righty tossed six innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Berrios will try to continue a nine-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.9 innings per appearance).
- He has had six appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Blue Jays have a 4-2 record in Berrios’ six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Berrios’ 32 starts, his team is 17-15.
- Berrios’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 10 of 32 games.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | 72 | 66 | 79 | 4.09 | 19 | 3 |
| Tim Mayza | 69 | 53.1 | 53 | 1.52 | 22 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 68 | 66.2 | 75 | 2.97 | 29 | 4 |
| Jordan Hicks | 64 | 65.2 | 81 | 3.29 | 13 | 12 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 59 | 55.2 | 58 | 4.53 | 11 | 0 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have a 63-19 record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
- Minnesota is 47-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 73-23 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Minnesota is 80-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 49 games this season and are 35-14 in those matchups.
- Toronto has won 26 of its 36 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 78 of the 115 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Toronto has won 65 of its 83 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 31-15 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-146)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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