Week 5 of the NFL season features Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars matching up against the Buffalo Bills at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday.
Trevor Lawrence Player Props vs the Bills
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247.5 | -115 | 1.5 | +120 | 16.5 | -110 | +380 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247.5 | -115 | 16.5 | -110 | 1.5 | +120 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 3 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Trevor Lawrence’s Passing Trends
- Lawrence has passed for 943 yards (235.8 per game) while completing 67.1% of his passes (96-for-143), with four touchdowns and two interceptions.
- Lawrence averages 6.6 yards per attempt as a passer this season, which ranks 22nd in the league.
- Lawrence is 14th in the league in passing yards (943) and 18th in passing touchdowns (four).
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Lawrence’s Rushing Trends
- Lawrence has also carried the ball 23 times for 101 yards, averaging 25.3 yards per game.
- He picks up 4.4 rushing yards per carry.
This Week’s Predictions
| Lawrence (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bills (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247.5+ Passing Yards | 25% | 37.4% | 25% | 26.6% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 75% | 79.4% | 75% | 75.6% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 25% | 35.9% | 0% | 20.1% |
| 16.5+ Rushing Yards | 75% | 92.9% | 66.7% | 75.2% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 31.3% | 16.7% | 8.1% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 5.4% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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