Bills vs. Jaguars Predictions, Betting Trends and Stats – Week 5

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 3, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The Buffalo Bills (3-1) are set to do battle against the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, October 8 at 9:30 AM ET. Both teams won their previous contest, as the Bills defeated the Dolphins 48-20, and the Jaguars won 23-7 against the Falcons.

The Jaguars are 5.5-point underdogs against the Bills (the game has an over/under of 48.5 points).

The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of October 8, 2023 at 3:25 AM ET. Check out the article below for the most up-to-date lines for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Bills Vs Jaguars Odds

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Bills -5.5 48.5

Bills vs. Jaguars Predictions

Computer picks for Bills vs Jaguars
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Bills (-5.5) Under (48.5)

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Team Stat Rankings

Bills Jaguars
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 34.8 (2) 20 (21)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 13.8 (2) 20.5 (12)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.9 (4) 5 (17)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.7 (24) 5.4 (22)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (13) 5 (13)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (1) 9 (4)

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Bills Betting Insights

  • The Bills have beaten the spread three times in four games.
  • Buffalo is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as a 5.5-point favorite or greater this season.
  • Two Bills games (out of four) have gone over the point total this year.
  • The over/under for this game is 48.5 points, 1.4 more than the average point total for Buffalo games this season.

Jaguars Betting Insights

  • The Jaguars have two wins against the spread this season.
  • Two Jaguars games (out of four) have gone over the point total this season.
  • Jacksonville games have finished with over 48.5 points two times this year.
  • Jaguars games average 45.4 total points, 3.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Bills Players to Watch

  • Josh Allen has thrown for 1,048 yards, completing 74.8% of his passes and tossing nine touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He’s also run for 106 yards (26.5 ypg) on 16 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
  • The team’s top rusher, James Cook, has carried the ball 56 times for 296 yards (74 per game) and one touchdown. He’s proven to be a dual threat, hauling in 115 receiving yards on 11 catches.
  • Stefon Diggs leads his squad with 399 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 31 receptions (out of 39 targets) and scored four touchdowns.
  • Gabriel Davis has caught 12 passes for 220 yards (55 yards per game) and three touchdowns this year.
  • Leonard Floyd has 3.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has three TFL and 10 tackles.
  • Terrel Bernard is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s picked up 29 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions.
  • Matt Milano leads the team with two interceptions, while also putting up 27 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended.

Jaguars Players to Watch

  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 943 yards (235.8 ypg) to lead Jacksonville, completing 67.1% of his passes and tossing four touchdown passes and two interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 101 yards (25.3 ypg) on 23 carries.
  • Travis Etienne is his team’s leading rusher with 69 carries for 260 yards, or 65 per game. He’s found paydirt one time on the ground, as well. Etienne has also chipped in with 14 catches for 96 yards.
  • Christian Kirk has hauled in 257 receiving yards on 24 receptions to pace his team this season while scoring one touchdown as a receiver.
  • Evan Engram has totaled 232 receiving yards (58 yards per game) on 25 receptions.
  • Calvin Ridley’s 28 targets have resulted in 15 receptions for 211 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Allen paces the team with six sacks, and also has five TFL and 16 tackles.
  • Jacksonville’s leading tackler, Foyesade Oluokun, has 45 tackles and three TFL this year.
  • Andre Cisco leads the team with two interceptions, while also recording 23 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.

How to Bet on Bills vs Jaguars

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