Sam Howell: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 5 Commanders Vs Bears – October 5, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 3, 2023

The Washington Commanders and Sam Howell will take on the Chicago Bears at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday for a Week 5 NFL contest.

Sam Howell Player Props vs the Bears

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
239.5 -115 1.5 +114 13.5 -150 +340
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
239.5 -115 13.5 -150 1.5 +114

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 2 2
Games w/ 1+ TDs 3 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 1 0

Sam Howell’s Passing Trends

  • Howell has passed for 961 yards (240.3 per game) while completing 67.1% of his passes (94-for-140), with four touchdowns and five interceptions.
  • Howell averages 6.9 yards per attempt passing this season, which ranks 17th in the league.
  • Howell’s 961 passing yards and four passing touchdowns rank 11th and 17th, respectively, in NFL play.

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Howell’s Rushing Trends

  • Howell also has 82 rushing yards on 11 carries (plus one rushing touchdown), averaging 20.5 yards per game on the ground.
  • He averages 7.5 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Howell (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Bears (2023) Prediction
239.5+ Passing Yards 50% 43.4% 75% 55.4%
1+ Passing TDs 75% 79.1% 100% 81.8%
2+ Passing TDs 25% 34.9% 75% 38.7%
13.5+ Rushing Yards 50% 94.9% 85.7% 64.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 25% 31.8% 57.1% 33.9%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9.7% 0% 1.2%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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