The NL Wild Card Series begins with a clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks, Tuesday at 7:08 PM ET, at American Family Field.
The Diamondbacks (+151 underdog moneyline odds to win) visit the Brewers (-182). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of October 3, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -182 | +151 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 53 out of the 90 games, or 58.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Milwaukee has entered 19 games this season favored by -182 or more and is 9-10 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 64.5%.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 72 of 162 chances this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 83-79-0 in 162 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 40, or 46%, of the 87 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Arizona has been victorious seven times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +151 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 39.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 162 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 162 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 88-74-0 against the spread.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 14-18-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw four scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals while allowing five hits.
- In 32 starts this season, Burnes has lasted five or more innings 30 times, with an average of 6.0 innings per appearance.
- He has kept opponents from scoring an earned run in two straight appearances.
- Burnes’ team has a record of 16-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Burnes’ team has won 18 of his 32 starts this season.
- Out of Burnes’ 32 starts with a total this season, 16 have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 72 | 64.1 | 59 | 1.96 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 67 | 70.2 | 77 | 2.55 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 60 | 58.2 | 87 | 1.53 | 0 | 36 |
| Andrew Chafin | 60 | 51.1 | 63 | 4.73 | 14 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 53 | 76.2 | 61 | 2.58 | 5 | 3 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt
- Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his 20th of the season. He is 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA and 94 strikeouts through 96 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering five hits.
- Pfaadt has put together 12 starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Diamondbacks have a 6-6 record in Pfaadt’s 12 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Pfaadt’s 19 starts, his team is 8-11.
- Pfaadt has had 19 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those games finished over the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 72 | 64.2 | 60 | 4.31 | 13 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 65 | 60.2 | 80 | 3.12 | 0 | 34 |
| Kyle Nelson | 63 | 56 | 67 | 4.18 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 60 | 65.1 | 70 | 2.48 | 8 | 4 |
| Joe Mantiply | 31 | 39 | 28 | 4.62 | 1 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 46-11 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its 24 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits 84 times this season, and has a 63-21 record in those games.
- Milwaukee has a 73-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers have gone 43-13 over the 56 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 34-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-7.
- They have a record of 75-34 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 87 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 68-19.
- They have won 26 of their 51 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-182)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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