Twins vs. Blue Jays AL Wild Card Game 1 Probable Starting Pitching Matchup

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 1, 2023 - Last Updated on September 25, 2024

The AL Wild Card Series begins with a showdown between the Minnesota Twins and the Toronto Blue Jays at Target Field on Tuesday, starting at 4:38 PM ET. The Twins will give the nod to Pablo Lopez (11-8, 3.71 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 12 on the season, and the Blue Jays will turn to Kevin Gausman (12-9, 3.16 ERA).

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Minnesota vs. Toronto Pitcher Matchup Info

  • When: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 4:38 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Probable Pitchers: Lopez – MIN (11-8, 3.71 ERA) vs Gausman – TOR (12-9, 3.16 ERA)

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Twins vs. Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats (2023)

Lopez Gausman
32 GS 31
11-8 W-L 12-9
3.71 ERA 3.16
194 IP 185
48 BB 55
234 SO 237

Twins Probable Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

  • His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics, when the righty went 4 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.71, with 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 32 games this season. Opponents are batting .235 against him.
  • Lopez has collected 20 quality starts this year.
  • He has had six appearances this season in which he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks 23rd in ERA (3.71), 16th in WHIP (1.155), and fifth in K/9 (10.9) among pitchers who qualify.
  • Lopez’s team is 16-16-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 17-13-2 at hitting the over.

Lopez’s Recent Performance

Opponent Date IP H R ER K BB
vs. Athletics Sep. 27 4.1 5 3 3 6 1
vs. Angels Sep. 22 6.0 5 3 3 7 1
at White Sox Sep. 16 5.0 8 5 5 8 0
vs. Mets Sep. 10 8.0 2 0 0 14 0
at Guardians Sep. 4 6.0 8 1 1 3 3

Blue Jays Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman

  • The right-hander allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Tuesday.
  • The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.16 ERA this season with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.7 walks per nine across 31 games.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of 0 ER appearances to three.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 32-year-old’s 3.16 ERA ranks sixth, 1.178 WHIP ranks 19th, and 11.5 K/9 ranks third.
  • The Blue Jays have gone 11-20-0 ATS in Gausman’s 31 starts with a set spread.
  • Gausman’s starts hit the over on the run total 13 times in 31 games with a set total this season.

Gausman’s Recent Performance

Opponent Date IP H R ER K BB
vs. Yankees Sep. 26 7.0 3 0 0 5 2
at Yankees Sep. 20 6.0 3 0 0 10 3
vs. Rangers Sep. 14 4.2 6 4 4 5 6
vs. Royals Sep. 9 8.0 2 1 1 10 1
at Rockies Sep. 3 4.0 6 3 3 5 3

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