The AL Wild Card Series opens with a clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and Texas Rangers, Tuesday at 3:08 PM ET, at Tropicana Field.
The Rays are favored (-154 on the moneyline) when they take the field at home against the Rangers (+130). The matchup has an over/under of 7.5 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of October 3, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -154 | +130 | 7.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been favorites in 131 games this season and won 86 (65.6%) of those contests.
- Tampa Bay has entered 74 games this season favored by -154 or more and is 54-20 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 89 of 162 opportunities.
- The Rays have an ATS record of 90-72-0 in 162 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.60 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have come away with 25 wins in the 52 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Texas has a mark of 6-10 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over in 84 of its 162 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Rangers have an against the spread record of 86-76-0 in 162 games with a line this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 9 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow
- Glasnow’s team is 14-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed two hits in five scoreless innings against the Boston Red Sox.
- Glasnow will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- In 21 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Glasnow’s team has been victorious in 57.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-9.
- Glasnow’s team has won 12 of his 21 starts.
- Games Glasnow has started this season hit the over 10 times in 21 chances.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 65 | 60.2 | 61 | 2.23 | 22 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 63 | 56.2 | 64 | 3.34 | 8 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 59 | 52.1 | 77 | 3.1 | 15 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 55 | 67 | 56 | 3.22 | 12 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 49 | 45.1 | 68 | 2.58 | 2 | 25 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery
- Montgomery (10-11) gets the starting nod for the Rangers in his 33rd start of the season. He has a 3.20 ERA in 188 2/3 innings pitched, with 166 strikeouts.
- His last appearance was on Friday against the Seattle Mariners, when the left-hander tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
- Montgomery will look to last five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
- He has had seven appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Rangers have a 2-4 record in Montgomery’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Montgomery’s team is 11-21 in his 32 starts.
- Montgomery’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 14 of 32 games.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 63 | 82.2 | 81 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 59 | 58.1 | 103 | 3.09 | 14 | 6 |
| Will Smith | 59 | 57.1 | 55 | 4.4 | 8 | 22 |
| José Leclerc | 56 | 57 | 67 | 2.68 | 8 | 4 |
| Brock Burke | 52 | 59.2 | 52 | 4.37 | 12 | 0 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have put up at least two round-trippers in 69 games this season, and are 52-17 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 40 games this season, and has gone 37-3 in those contests.
- The team is 76-32 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Tampa Bay has a 76-21 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays have gone 30-9 over the 39 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They have won 55 of the 76 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Texas has gone 37-14 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 82-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 102 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 78-24.
- In 58 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 37-21
Rays vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-154)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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