Week 4 NFL action will see Derek Carr and the New Orleans Saints face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday.
Derek Carr Player Props vs the Buccaneers
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225.5 | -115 | 1.5 | +120 | 3.5 | -120 | +800 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 225.5 | -115 | 3.5 | -120 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 1 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 2 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Derek Carr’s Passing Trends
- Carr has thrown for 636 yards (212.0 ypg) to lead New Orleans, completing 65.5% of his passes and collecting two touchdown passes and two interceptions this season.
- Carr averages 7.3 yards per attempt as a passer this season, which ranks ninth in the league.
- Carr ranks 22nd in the NFL with two passing touchdowns, and 21st with 636 passing yards.
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Carr’s Rushing Trends
- Carr has added zero rushing yards on six carries, averaging 0.0 yards per game.
This Week’s Predictions
| Carr (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Buccaneers (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225.5+ Passing Yards | 66.7% | 55.6% | 66.7% | 65.3% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 66.7% | 80.8% | 100% | 76.8% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 0% | 34.3% | 33.3% | 12.6% |
| 3.5+ Rushing Yards | 33.3% | 99.3% | 100% | 58.2% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 32.9% | 20% | 9.1% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9.4% | 0% | 1.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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