The Texas Rangers (90-71) visit the Seattle Mariners (87-74) at 3:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Mariners are the home favorite (-120) versus the Rangers (+101). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of October 1, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -120 | +101 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 65 out of the 111 games, or 58.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Seattle has a record of 55-37, a 59.8% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 54.5% chance to win.
- Games involving Seattle has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 161 chances this season.
- In 161 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 76-85-0 ATS.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (49%) in those games.
- This season, Texas has been victorious 14 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 84 of its 161 opportunities.
- The Rangers have posted a record of 86-75-0 against the spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby’s team is 14-16-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Houston Astros while allowing five hits.
- Kirby has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 30 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Kirby’s team has a record of 14-10 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Kirby has started, his team is 16-14.
- In Kirby’s 30 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 15 times.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 77 | 70.2 | 107 | 3.06 | 24 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 74 | 69 | 61 | 2.61 | 23 | 3 |
| Gabe Speier | 68 | 54.2 | 64 | 3.79 | 17 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 52 | 49 | 67 | 2.94 | 14 | 13 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 51 | 47.2 | 43 | 3.59 | 3 | 1 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning
- Dunning gets the start for the Rangers, his 26th of the season. He is 12-6 with a 3.72 ERA and 136 strikeouts in 169 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Thursday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw seven scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
- Dunning will try to build upon a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging five frames per appearance).
- In nine of his 34 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Rangers have a 4-6 record in Dunning’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Dunning’s team is 13-12 in his 25 starts.
- Dunning has had 25 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those games.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 63 | 82.2 | 81 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 59 | 58.1 | 103 | 3.09 | 14 | 6 |
| Will Smith | 59 | 57.1 | 55 | 4.4 | 8 | 22 |
| José Leclerc | 56 | 57 | 67 | 2.68 | 8 | 4 |
| Brock Burke | 52 | 59.2 | 52 | 4.37 | 12 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 43-16 record in games this season when they smash two or more homers.
- Seattle is 27-4 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 100 games this season, and is 68-32 in those contests.
- Seattle is 72-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners are 34-17 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 76 games this season and are 55-21 in those matchups.
- Texas has won 37 of its 51 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 82-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Texas has won 78 of its 102 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 37-21 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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