Rafael Devers is only one RBI away from his 100th of the campaign as his Boston Red Sox (77-84) face the Baltimore Orioles (101-60) on Sunday at 3:05 PM ET.
The Red Sox are an away underdog (+137) at the Orioles (-163). The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of October 1, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -163 | +137 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 81 times this season and won 55, or 67.9%, of those games.
- Baltimore has a record of 25-9, a 73.5% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Orioles have a 62% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 81 of its 161 games with a total this season.
- The Orioles have an ATS record of 97-64-0 in 161 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 3 |
| ERA | 2.17 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 84 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (42.9%) in those games.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 10 times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 42.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 82 of 161 chances this season.
- In 161 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 75-86-0 against the spread.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.99 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- Bradish and his team have a record of 17-12-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander allowed three hits in eight scoreless innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Tuesday.
- Bradish has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has kept opponents from scoring an earned run in two straight appearances.
- Bradish’s team has a record of 13-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Bradish’s team has won 19 of his 29 starts.
- In games Bradish has started this season, the teams are 12-15-2 at hitting the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 70 | 72.1 | 64 | 2.12 | 31 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 63 | 52.2 | 43 | 3.59 | 11 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 59 | 50.1 | 56 | 2.68 | 23 | 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 55 | 78 | 83 | 7.27 | 5 | 2 |
| Jacob Webb | 54 | 53.2 | 57 | 3.69 | 12 | 1 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Tanner Houck
- Houck (5-10 with a 5.31 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 100 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Red Sox, his 21st of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the right-hander tossed three innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering 10 hits.
- Houck is trying to collect his 15th start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in 14 of Houck’s starts this season, and they went 2-12 in those games.
- Houck’s team has won eight of his 20 starts.
- Houck has started 20 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 58 | 84.1 | 82 | 2.99 | 19 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 49 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.63 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 46 | 49.2 | 57 | 3.26 | 4 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 43 | 45.2 | 52 | 3.94 | 10 | 1 |
| Mauricio Llovera | 30 | 35 | 29 | 4.89 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have hit at least two home runs in 57 games this season, and are 43-14 in those outings.
- Baltimore is 37-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 102 games this season, and is 74-28 in those contests.
- Baltimore has a 78-12 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Orioles are 31-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 49 games this season and are 33-16 in those matchups.
- Boston has won 30 of its 43 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 62 of the 108 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Boston has won 62 of its 79 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-163)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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