The Atlanta Braves (104-57) and Washington Nationals (70-91) play a rubber match on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Nationals (+187 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Braves (-230). The total for this game is set at 10.5.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of October 1, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -230 | +187 | 10.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 147 times and won 96, or 65.3%, of those games.
- Atlanta has a record of 28-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -230 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 69.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 91 of 161 chances this season.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 84-77-0 in 161 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 60, or 40.5%, of the 148 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 16 times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +187 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 34.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 76 of 160 chances this season.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 84-76-0 in 160 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.28 |
| K/9 | 8 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Dylan Dodd
- Dodd and his team are 3-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, Sept. 9, when he threw four innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up four earned runs.
- In six starts this season, Dodd has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.7 innings per appearance.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Dodd’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-2.
- Dodd’s team has a 4-2 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Dodd’s six starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 69 | 64.2 | 82 | 3.76 | 21 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 66 | 62.2 | 90 | 4.45 | 12 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 59 | 60.1 | 80 | 3.28 | 9 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 59 | 53.1 | 59 | 5.23 | 4 | 1 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 57 | 55.2 | 68 | 3.07 | 0 | 33 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jackson Rutledge
- The Nationals will send Rutledge (1-1) to the mound for his fourth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and eight strikeouts over 15 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday, Sept. 24 against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
- Rutledge will try to build upon a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging five innings per appearance).
- The Nationals were named the moneyline underdog for two Rutledge starts this season — they split the games.
- Rutledge’s team has a 2-1 record in his three starts.
- Rutledge has had three starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in one of those games.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 65 | 68.1 | 62 | 3.69 | 8 | 27 |
| Hunter Harvey | 56 | 59.2 | 66 | 2.72 | 19 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 51 | 54.2 | 60 | 3.62 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 44 | 50 | 43 | 5.22 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 38 | 33.2 | 25 | 5.08 | 5 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have a 67-22 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
- Atlanta has gone 39-6 in its 45 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 114 times this season, and has an 80-34 record in those games.
- Atlanta has an 84-23 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 42 games this season, and are 30-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 26-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won 20 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 104 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 56-48.
- Washington has a 48-20 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 17-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-230)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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