The San Diego Padres (81-80) hope to sweep the Chicago White Sox (61-100) on Sunday at Guaranteed Rate Field, beginning at 3:10 PM ET.
As the favorite, the Padres (-200 on the moneyline to win) visit the White Sox (+164). The over/under for this game is set at 9.5.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of October 1, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs White Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -200 | +164 | 9.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 68, or 55.7%, of the 122 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- San Diego is 15-8 this season when entering a game favored by -200 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of 161 opportunities.
- In 161 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 80-81-0 ATS.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 1.66 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have been underdogs in 114 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (32.5%) in those contests.
- This year, Chicago has won four of 14 games when listed as at least +164 or worse on the moneyline.
- The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 37.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 72 of its 161 opportunities.
- The White Sox are 79-82-0 against the spread in their 161 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.82 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Pedro Avila
- Avila’s team is 4-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Sunday, Sept. 24 when he threw 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up two earned runs while allowing two hits.
- In five starts, Avila has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 3.5 frames per outing.
- He has finished six appearances without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- Avila’s team has a record of 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Avila’s team has won three of his five starts this season.
- In games Avila has started this season, the teams are 4-1-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Garcia | 60 | 59.2 | 53 | 4.07 | 10 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 60 | 67 | 78 | 4.43 | 7 | 13 |
| Josh Hader | 60 | 55.1 | 84 | 1.3 | 0 | 33 |
| Nick Martínez | 53 | 110.1 | 106 | 3.43 | 15 | 1 |
| Tom Cosgrove | 50 | 50.1 | 43 | 1.79 | 7 | 1 |
White Sox Probable Pitcher – Jose Urena
- The White Sox are sending Urena (0-7) out to make his 10th start of the season. He is 0-7 with a 7.45 ERA and 26 strikeouts through 38 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the right-hander threw four innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Urena is looking to record his fourth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered one or more earned runs in all of his appearances.
- The White Sox were the moneyline underdog for seven Urena starts this season — they lost every game.
- Urena’s team has fallen in all nine of his starts this season.
- Urena has had nine starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Bummer | 59 | 58.1 | 78 | 6.79 | 15 | 0 |
| Bryan Shaw | 37 | 44.2 | 40 | 4.23 | 4 | 4 |
| José Ruiz | 35 | 44.1 | 39 | 5.89 | 1 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 30 | 37.1 | 33 | 4.34 | 3 | 0 |
| Tanner Banks | 29 | 61 | 51 | 4.43 | 1 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 42-27 this season in games when they crush two or more home runs.
- San Diego is 28-8 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 62-27 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- San Diego is 63-13 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 63 games this season, and are 35-28 in those contests.
White Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 25-23 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Chicago has gone 18-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 93 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 48-45.
- In 59 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 43-16.
- They have a 8-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. White Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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