The Houston Astros (89-72) have a 2-0 series lead, hoping to sweep the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-77) on Sunday at Chase Field, at 3:10 PM ET.
The Diamondbacks are a big underdog (+189 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Astros (-227). The contest has an over/under of 9.
The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of October 1, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -227 | +189 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have won 61 out of the 117 games, or 52.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Houston has a record of 13-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -227 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 69.4% chance to win.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 84 of 161 opportunities.
- The Astros have an ATS record of 79-82-0 in 161 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have come away with 40 wins in the 86 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Arizona has a win-loss record of 2-1 when favored by +189 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 34.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Arizona has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 71 of 161 chances this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 88-73-0 against the spread in their 161 games that had a posted line this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.90 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier’s team is 18-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed three hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners.
- Javier has made 22 starts of five or more innings in 30 chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 30 chances this season.
- When Javier starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 11-8.
- Javier’s team has won 20 of his 30 starts.
- Games started by Javier have a 19-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 70 | 72 | 100 | 1.75 | 24 | 5 |
| Héctor Neris | 69 | 68.1 | 77 | 1.71 | 31 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 67 | 66.1 | 66 | 3.12 | 13 | 8 |
| Phil Maton | 67 | 66 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 66 | 66.1 | 78 | 5.02 | 10 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Kyle Nelson
- Nelson gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his fifth of the season. He is 7-3 with a 3.88 ERA and 66 strikeouts over 55 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was in relief on Thursday when the lefty threw one inning against the Chicago White Sox, surrendering one earned run while giving up two hits.
- In 50 of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Diamondbacks were the moneyline underdog for one Nelson start this season — they won.
- Nelson’s team has a 3-1 record in his starts this season.
- Nelson’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of four games.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 71 | 63.2 | 59 | 4.38 | 13 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 65 | 60.2 | 80 | 3.12 | 0 | 34 |
| Kyle Nelson | 63 | 55.2 | 66 | 3.88 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 60 | 65.1 | 70 | 2.48 | 8 | 4 |
| Joe Mantiply | 31 | 39 | 28 | 4.62 | 1 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 42-16 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- Houston has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 39 games this season, and has gone 29-10 in those contests.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 111 times this season, and has an 81-30 record in those games.
- Houston is 75-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 50 games this season, and are 40-10 in those contests.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 48 games this season and are 34-14 in those matchups.
- Arizona has won 23 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 75 of the 109 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 87 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 68-19.
- In 51 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 26-25
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+189)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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