The New York Yankees (82-79) visit the Kansas City Royals (55-106) at 3:10 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
As the favorite, the Yankees (-139 on the moneyline) play at the Royals (+117). The over/under for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of October 1, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -139 | +117 | 8.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 96 times this season and won 52, or 54.2%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 36-23 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 161 games with a total this season.
- The Yankees are 80-81-0 against the spread in their 161 chances this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 140 games this year and have walked away with the win 48 times (34.3%) in those games.
- Kansas City has a win-loss record of 42-79 when favored by +117 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 46.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 78 of its 161 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Royals are 72-89-0 against the spread in their 161 games that had a posted line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Michael King
- King and his team have a record of 3-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- King will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has 31 appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 48 chances this season.
- King’s team is 1-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- King’s team is 4-5 when he starts this season.
- In King’s nine starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes | 64 | 63 | 71 | 2.57 | 5 | 24 |
| Keynan Middleton | 50 | 50.2 | 64 | 3.37 | 5 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 100.2 | 126 | 2.5 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 35 | 58 | 69 | 2.64 | 5 | 2 |
| Nick Ramirez | 32 | 40.2 | 28 | 2.66 | 2 | 1 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke
- Greinke (1-15) gets the starting nod for the Royals in his 27th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.18 ERA in 137 1/3 innings pitched, with 95 strikeouts.
- The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw five scoreless innings while giving up one hit.
- Greinke will try to pick up his 19th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.7 innings per appearance.
- He has had five appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Royals are 7-16 in Greinke’s 23 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Greinke’s team has a 7-19 record in his starts this season.
- Greinke has started 26 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 10 of them.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 59 | 69 | 76 | 5.35 | 16 | 4 |
| Taylor Clarke | 54 | 58 | 65 | 5.9 | 12 | 3 |
| Tucker Davidson | 37 | 51.1 | 46 | 5.96 | 2 | 2 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Kowar | 23 | 28 | 29 | 6.43 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have a 61-19 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
- New York has had five or more extra-base hits in 25 games this season, and has gone 21-4 in those contests.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 93 times this season, and has a 64-29 record in those games.
- New York has a 60-17 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees are 33-21 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 22-18 in those matchups.
- In 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-17.
- In 89 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-49.
- Kansas City has won 39 of its 56 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 10 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Yankees vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-139)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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