Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 1, 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (82-79) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (70-91) at 3:15 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Cardinals (+102 underdog moneyline odds to win) hit the field versus the Reds (-121). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.

The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of October 1, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Reds vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Reds -121 +102 8.5

Reds Betting Insights

  • This season, the Reds have been favored 43 times and won 24, or 55.8%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati has entered 28 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 13-15 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Games involving Cincinnati has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 79 of 161 chances this season.
  • The Reds are 93-68-0 against the spread in their 161 chances this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 7
HR 21
ERA 6.65
K/9 9

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have come away with 36 wins in the 84 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, St. Louis has won 29 of 65 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 77 of 160 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals have an against the spread record of 74-86-0 in 160 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 5
ERA 5.73
K/9 6.4

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Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene

  • Greene’s team is 10-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in three innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • In 21 starts this season, Greene has lasted five or more innings 14 times, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 21 chances this season.
  • Greene’s team has a record of 2-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Greene’s team has won nine of his 21 starts.
  • In Greene’s 21 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 72 75.2 69 3.57 23 3
Alexis Diaz 69 67.1 86 3.07 2 37
Buck Farmer 69 75 70 4.2 10 3
Sam Moll 67 62.1 68 3.03 9 1
Lucas Sims 65 61 72 3.1 23 3

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas

  • The Cardinals are sending Mikolas (8-13) to make his 35th start of the season. He is 8-13 with a 4.82 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 194 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the righty tossed seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • Mikolas will look to build upon an eight-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per appearance).
  • He has had five appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cardinals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 17 of Mikolas’ starts this season, and they went 6-11 in those games.
  • Mikolas’ team is 14-20 over his 34 starts.
  • Mikolas has had 33 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 16 of those outings finished over the total.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Andre Pallante 60 68 43 4.76 14 0
Drew VerHagen 59 61 60 3.98 14 0
John King 33 36.1 18 3.72 11 0
Ryan Helsley 31 35.2 50 2.52 2 13
Zack Thompson 16 66.1 72 4.48 1 0

Reds Hitting Trends

  • The Reds are 39-17 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
  • Cincinnati has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 43 games this season, and has gone 32-11 in those contests.
  • The team is 72-32 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
  • Cincinnati has a 73-17 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Reds have drawn five or more walks in 50 games this season, and are 26-24 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 67 games this season and are 44-23 in those matchups.
  • In 42 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 35-7.
  • They have won 65 of the 105 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • St. Louis has a 60-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 22 of their 52 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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