The Milwaukee Brewers (91-70) and Chicago Cubs (83-78) play a rubber match on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Cubs are an underdog away (+118) at the Brewers (-141). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article reference odds valid as of October 1, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -141 | +118 | 8.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 89 times this season and won 52, or 58.4%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has entered 48 games this season favored by -141 or more and is 28-20 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 72 of 161 chances this season.
- The Brewers have an ATS record of 82-79-0 in 161 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been underdogs in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (43.3%) in those contests.
- This season, Chicago has come away with a win 14 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 79 of its 161 opportunities.
- In 161 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 77-84-0 against the spread.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- When Houser starts, his team is 13-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in five innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Houser will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has made 22 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Houser’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
- Houser’s team is 13-7 when he starts this season.
- Games Houser has started this season hit the over six times in 20 chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 72 | 64.1 | 59 | 1.96 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 67 | 70.2 | 77 | 2.55 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 60 | 58.2 | 87 | 1.53 | 0 | 36 |
| Andrew Chafin | 59 | 50 | 63 | 4.86 | 13 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 53 | 76.2 | 61 | 2.58 | 5 | 3 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele (16-5) gets the starting nod for the Cubs in his 31st start of the season. He’s put together a 3.38 ERA in 173 1/3 innings pitched, with 176 strikeouts.
- The lefty’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Steele has pitched five or more innings in a game 27 times this year entering this outing.
- In seven of his 30 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Cubs are 5-5 in Steele’s 10 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Steele’s team has a 19-11 record in his starts this season.
- Steele’s starts hit the over on the run total 16 times in 30 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 68 | 72 | 98 | 3.38 | 17 | 2 |
| Jose Cuas | 68 | 65.1 | 71 | 3.99 | 10 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 67 | 64.1 | 77 | 3.5 | 28 | 4 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 56 | 64 | 67 | 2.67 | 7 | 22 |
| Daniel Palencia | 26 | 26.1 | 29 | 4.78 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have put up at least two round-trippers in 57 games this season, and are 46-11 in those contests.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in its 24 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 84 times this season, and has a 63-21 record in those games.
- Milwaukee is 73-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 55 games this season, and are 42-13 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 42 of the 66 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Chicago has gone 29-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 72 of the 103 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has a 66-20 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 52 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-22
Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-141)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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