Steelers vs. Texans Predictions & Best Bets: Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under and Props | Week 4

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 30, 2023

The Houston Texans (1-2) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) at NRG Stadium on Sunday, October 1, 2023, and best bets information is available.

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Spread: Texans (+3) to Cover

  • The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (1.1 points) is slightly less than the 3-point edge DraftKings gives to the Steelers, though the data still has them as the favorite.
  • Houston has covered the spread one time this season (1-2-0).
  • The Texans have covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • Houston is 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall over its last three contests.
  • Pittsburgh is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall over its last three games.

Think the Texans will cover? Sign up and bet with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Total: Over 41.5

  • The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 2.7 points lower than the model projection.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to score more than 41.5 points in two games this year.
  • Games featuring the Steelers have hit the over once this season.
  • This season, games featuring the Texans have hit the over twice.

Will this matchup go over the total? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook for the latest odds and to get the best signup offer using our link!

Moneyline Winner: Steelers (-162)

  • Prediction:
    Pittsburgh 23 – Houston 22
  • Pittsburgh has not been the moneyline favorite so far this season.
  • Houston has split the two games it has played as underdogs this season.

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Steelers and Texans Splits

Steelers Texans
Record 2-1 1-2
At Home 1-1 0-1
On the Road 1-0 1-1
In Conference 2-0 1-2
In Division 1-0 1-1
One Possession Games 2-0 0-0
Indoor 0-0 0-1
Outdoor 2-1 1-1

Interested in more information about this game? Take a look at the full preview here!

Kenny Pickett Passing TDs: Under 1.5 (-190)

  • 2023 Season: 689 PASS YDS / 229.7 YPG / 59.6% / 4 TD / 3 INT
  • In Steelers’ Last 5 Games: 689 PASS YDS / 229.7 YPG / 59.6% / 4 TD / 3 INT
  • In Steelers’ Last 3 Games: 689 PASS YDS / 229.7 YPG / 59.6% / 4 TD / 3 INT

See all of Pickett’s props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Dameon Pierce Rushing Yards: Under 47.5 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 40 CAR / 100 YDS / 33.3 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Texans’ Last 5 Games: 40 CAR / 100 YDS / 33.3 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Texans’ Last 3 Games: 40 CAR / 100 YDS / 33.3 YPG / 1 TD
  • Pierce picks up 33.3 rushing yards per game this season, which falls short of Sunday’s prop total of 47.5 yards.

Check out all of Pierce’s props for this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

George Pickens Receiving Yards: Under 57.5 (-115)

  • 2023 Season: 13 REC / 238 YDS / 79.3 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Steelers’ Last 5 Games: 13 REC / 238 YDS / 79.3 YPG / 1 TD
  • In Steelers’ Last 3 Games: 13 REC / 238 YDS / 79.3 YPG / 1 TD
  • Pickens is averaging 79.3 receiving yards per game, 21.8 more than the over/under of 57.5 set for Sunday’s outing.

Check out all of Pickens’ props for this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

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