The New York Mets (72-86) and Philadelphia Phillies (89-70) battle in NL East action, on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET.
The Phillies are road underdogs (+105) against the Mets (-130).
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -130 | +105 | – |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 91 games this season and won 50 (54.9%) of those contests.
- This season New York has won 30 of its 63 games, or 47.6%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
- The Mets have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 66 of its 159 chances.
- The Mets are 73-86-0 against the spread in their 159 chances this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been victorious in 23, or 46.9%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 15 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 73 of its 159 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 72-87-0 against the spread in their 159 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 10 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill and his team are 14-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in six innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, Sept. 22.
- Megill has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 24 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Megill’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-4.
- Megill’s team has won 10 of his 24 starts this season.
- Games Megill has started this season hit the over seven times in 24 chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 65 | 60.2 | 61 | 2.97 | 12 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley | 64 | 54 | 59 | 2.83 | 24 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 62 | 58 | 62 | 4.19 | 10 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 61 | 55.1 | 60 | 4.23 | 12 | 3 |
| Phil Bickford | 60 | 66.1 | 73 | 5.02 | 4 | 1 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker gets the start for the Phillies, his 31st of the season. He is 15-5 with a 4.40 ERA and 135 strikeouts in 165 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Friday, Sept. 22 against the New York Mets, when the righty went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Walker is looking for his 19th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.5 innings per start.
- In three of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Phillies have a 6-5 record in Walker’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Walker’s 30 starts, his team is 21-9.
- Walker has started 30 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 13 of them.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 70 | 68 | 91 | 3.31 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 67 | 59.1 | 63 | 4.7 | 23 | 3 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 56 | 49.1 | 48 | 3.83 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 52 | 52 | 68 | 2.42 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 47 | 86.2 | 106 | 3.32 | 11 | 2 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have hit at least two home runs in 57 games this season, and are 34-23 in those contests.
- New York has gone 23-6 in its 29 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 58-30 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- New York is 54-20 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 18-15 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They have won 45 of the 61 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Philadelphia has won 35 of its 45 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 67-36 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 84 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 67-17.
- They have a 38-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-130)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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