Kyle Farmer takes a 10-game hitting streak into the Minnesota Twins’ (86-74) game against the Colorado Rockies (58-102) at 8:10 PM ET on Saturday, at Coors Field.
The Twins are the road favorite (-138) versus the Rockies (+115). The matchup has an over/under set at 13 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -138 | +115 | 13 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 66, or 60.6%, of the 109 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota has a record of 42-32 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 58% chance to win.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 80 of its 160 games with a total this season.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 80-80-0 in 160 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 12.1 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have been victorious in 53, or 36.6%, of the 145 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Colorado has been victorious 44 times in 131 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Colorado has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 73 of 160 chances this season.
- The Rockies have posted a record of 79-81-0 against the spread this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.40 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Emilio Pagan
- Pagan has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, throwing one scoreless inning of relief and allowing one hit.
- He has kept opponents from scoring an earned run in eight straight appearances.
- Pagan’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Pagan’s team is 2-0 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Pagan this season, the teams hit the over once.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 69 | 64.1 | 66 | 3.78 | 23 | 4 |
| Emilio Pagán | 63 | 68.1 | 65 | 3.03 | 8 | 1 |
| Jhoan Duran | 58 | 61.1 | 84 | 2.49 | 1 | 27 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 35 | 30.1 | 35 | 2.67 | 14 | 0 |
| Brock Stewart | 26 | 27.1 | 38 | 0.66 | 7 | 1 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Chase Anderson
- Anderson (1-6) gets the starting nod for the Rockies in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.42 ERA in 86 1/3 innings pitched, with 64 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he tossed five scoreless innings while allowing five hits.
- Anderson is seeking his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.5 innings per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 19 appearances this season.
- The Rockies have an 8-8 record in Anderson’s 16 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Anderson’s team has won eight of his 17 starts.
- Anderson’s starts went over the run total nine times in 17 games with a set total this season.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lawrence | 67 | 74 | 76 | 3.77 | 11 | 11 |
| Jake Bird | 64 | 88.1 | 75 | 4.38 | 13 | 0 |
| Brent Suter | 54 | 68.1 | 54 | 3.69 | 7 | 0 |
| Matt Koch | 37 | 36.2 | 24 | 5.40 | 6 | 0 |
| Gavin Hollowell | 25 | 32.2 | 31 | 6.06 | 3 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 61-19 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Minnesota has gone 46-9 in its 55 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 72-22 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Minnesota is 79-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Twins are 36-19 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 37 games this season and are 20-17 in those matchups.
- Colorado has won 15 of its 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 43 of the 96 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Colorado has a 42-24 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 24 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-8
Twins vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (-138)
Over/Under Pick: Under (13)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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