Spencer Torkelson brings a two-game homer streak into the Detroit Tigers’ (76-84) game versus the Cleveland Guardians (76-84) at 1:10 PM ET on Saturday, at Comerica Park.
The Guardians are favored (-115) in a projected tight game against the Tigers (-105). The game’s total is set at 7.5.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -115 | -105 | 7.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 78 times this season and won 40, or 51.3%, of those games.
- Cleveland has entered 71 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 35-36 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 67 of its 159 chances.
- The Guardians are 82-77-0 against the spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.97 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have won in 51, or 42.5%, of the 120 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win 47 times in 115 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Detroit has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 78 of 161 chances this season.
- The Tigers have an against the spread record of 87-74-0 in 161 games with a line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Triston McKenzie
- McKenzie’s team is 1-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed one hit in 1 2/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
- McKenzie’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- McKenzie’s team has won one of his three starts this season.
- Games McKenzie has started this season hit the over one time in three chances.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 73 | 72.2 | 64 | 3.22 | 0 | 44 |
| Trevor Stephan | 69 | 67.2 | 73 | 4.12 | 28 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 69 | 64.2 | 62 | 3.34 | 16 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 65 | 66 | 83 | 3.27 | 22 | 6 |
| Eli Morgan | 60 | 66.1 | 74 | 3.80 | 8 | 1 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Will Vest
- Vest (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Tigers in his fifth start of the season. He has a 3.11 ERA in 46 1/3 innings pitched, with 55 strikeouts.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Thursday, when he threw one scoreless inning against the Kansas City Royals without surrendering a hit.
- In 37 of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Vest’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
- In Vest’s four starts, his team is 2-2.
- Vest has had four starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and three of those matchups finished over the total.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 69 | 69 | 55 | 2.61 | 28 | 7 |
| Alex Lange | 64 | 64.1 | 76 | 3.78 | 5 | 25 |
| José Cisnero | 61 | 59.1 | 70 | 5.31 | 14 | 2 |
| Tyler Holton | 56 | 84.1 | 74 | 2.13 | 13 | 1 |
| Will Vest | 42 | 46.1 | 55 | 3.11 | 10 | 2 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have racked up two or more home runs in 31 games this season, and are 22-9 in those outings.
- Cleveland has gone 22-7 in its 29 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 100 times this season, and has a 53-47 record in those games.
- Cleveland has a 45-16 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Guardians are 22-18 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 47 games this season and are 32-15 in those matchups.
- In 31 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-7.
- In 92 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 66-26.
- In 70 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 54-16.
- They have won 26 of their 39 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Tigers (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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