The Houston Astros (88-72) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-76) on Saturday at Chase Field, at 8:10 PM ET.
The Diamondbacks (+110 underdog on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Astros (-130). The over/under for this game is set at 9.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -130 | +110 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 60, or 51.7%, of the 116 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Houston is 48-43 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 84 of its 160 games with a total this season.
- The Astros have an ATS record of 79-81-0 in 160 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 11.0 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 85 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (47.1%) in those games.
- This season, Arizona has come away with a win 24 times in 53 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 71 of its 160 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 87-73-0 against the spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Astros or Diamondbacks, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Astros Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander’s team is 12-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in eight innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
- Verlander will look to finish five or more innings for the 20th start in a row.
- He has made 26 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Verlander’s team has been victorious in 55% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-9.
- Verlander’s team has won 14 of his 26 starts this season.
- Out of Verlander’s 26 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 69 | 71 | 99 | 1.77 | 24 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 68 | 66.2 | 76 | 1.75 | 30 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 66 | 66 | 66 | 3.14 | 12 | 8 |
| Phil Maton | 66 | 65 | 73 | 3.05 | 9 | 1 |
| Rafael Montero | 66 | 66.1 | 78 | 5.02 | 10 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- The Diamondbacks are sending Kelly (12-7) to the mound for his 30th start of the season. He is 12-7 with a 3.37 ERA and 182 strikeouts over 170 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Monday, the righty went five innings against the New York Yankees, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
- Kelly will try to go five or more innings for his 29th straight start. He’s averaging 5.9 frames per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 29 outings this season.
- The Diamondbacks have been the moneyline underdog in 15 of Kelly’s starts this season, and they went 7-8 in those matchups.
- Kelly’s team has won 16 of his 29 starts.
- Kelly has had 29 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those games finished over the total.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 70 | 63 | 58 | 4.43 | 13 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 65 | 60.2 | 80 | 3.12 | 0 | 34 |
| Kyle Nelson | 63 | 55.2 | 66 | 3.88 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 60 | 65.1 | 70 | 2.48 | 8 | 4 |
| Joe Mantiply | 30 | 38 | 26 | 4.74 | 1 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have hit two or more long balls in 58 games this season, and are 42-16 in those outings.
- Houston has gone 29-10 in its 39 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has collected at least eight hits in 111 games this season, and is 81-30 in those contests.
- Houston has a 75-16 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros have gone 40-10 in the 50 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- They are 34-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Arizona has won 23 of its 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 109 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 75-34.
- Arizona has won 68 of its 87 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 50 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 26-24
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (+110)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
