Marcus Semien has 99 RBI, and will look for his 100th when the Texas Rangers (89-71) meet the Seattle Mariners (87-73) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Mariners are favored at home (-144) against the Rangers (+121). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reference odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -144 | +121 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been favorites in 110 games this season and won 65 (59.1%) of those contests.
- This season Seattle has won 38 of its 64 games, or 59.4%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
- Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 81 of its 160 games with a total this season.
- The Mariners are 76-84-0 against the spread in their 160 chances this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.24 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (48%) in those games.
- Texas has a mark of 7-12 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 84 of its 160 opportunities.
- In 160 games with a line this season, the Rangers have a mark of 85-75-0 against the spread.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 4.34 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo and his team have a record of 11-21-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in six innings against the Houston Astros.
- Castillo has 32 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has nine appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 32 chances this season.
- Castillo’s team has been victorious in 64.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 18-10.
- Castillo’s team has won 19 of his 32 starts this season.
- Games started by Castillo have a 17-15-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 76 | 69.2 | 106 | 2.97 | 24 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 73 | 68 | 59 | 2.65 | 23 | 3 |
| Gabe Speier | 67 | 53.1 | 61 | 3.88 | 17 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 51 | 48 | 65 | 2.81 | 14 | 13 |
| Dominic Leone | 50 | 54 | 54 | 4.67 | 3 | 1 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney
- Heaney gets the start for the Rangers, his 28th of the season. He is 10-6 with a 4.28 ERA and 149 strikeouts over 143 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out — in relief on Friday — the lefty tossed one scoreless inning against the Seattle Mariners without surrendering a hit.
- Heaney heads into the game with 18 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- He is looking to make his fifth straight appearance with no earned runs given up.
- The Rangers are 4-4 in Heaney’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Heaney’s team has put together a 15-12 record over his 27 starts.
- Heaney has started 27 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 16 of them.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 63 | 82.2 | 81 | 4.03 | 8 | 1 |
| Will Smith | 59 | 57.1 | 55 | 4.40 | 8 | 22 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 59 | 58.1 | 103 | 3.09 | 14 | 6 |
| José Leclerc | 55 | 55.2 | 65 | 2.75 | 8 | 4 |
| Brock Burke | 52 | 59.2 | 52 | 4.37 | 12 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have racked up two or more home runs in 59 games this season, and are 43-16 in those outings.
- Seattle is 27-4 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 68-32 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Seattle has a 72-13 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in 51 games this season, and are 34-17 in those contests.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 76 games this season and are 55-21 in those matchups.
- Texas has won 37 of its 51 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 121 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 81-40.
- Texas has won 77 of its 101 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 57 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 36-21
Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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