The Miami Marlins (83-76) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) at 6:35 PM ET on Saturday.
The Marlins are a favorite (-150) against the Pirates (+126). The game’s total is 9.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of September 30, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -150 | +126 | 9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have been favored 72 times and won 42, or 58.3%, of those games.
- Miami has entered 37 games this season favored by -150 or more and is 29-8 in those contests.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 60% chance to win.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of 159 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 72-87-0 against the spread in their 159 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.96 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 128 games this year and have walked away with the win 55 times (43%) in those games.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 37-38 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +126 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 44.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 85 of its 160 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 160 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 83-77-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 6.52 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – JT Chargois
- Chargois’ team is 1-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Friday, when he threw one scoreless inning while allowing one hit to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Chargois’ team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Chargois’ team has won two of his four starts this season.
- Games started by Chargois have a 2-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 68 | 76.2 | 101 | 2.35 | 24 | 11 |
| David Robertson | 61 | 64.1 | 76 | 3.08 | 9 | 19 |
| Dylan Floro | 59 | 56.2 | 58 | 4.76 | 9 | 7 |
| Andrew Nardi | 58 | 56 | 71 | 2.57 | 17 | 3 |
| Steven Okert | 57 | 58.1 | 73 | 4.47 | 12 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Quinn Priester
- Priester makes the start for the Pirates, his eighth of the season. He is 3-2 with a 7.86 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 44 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he tossed six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
- Priester will aim to pitch five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.9 frames per outing.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has given up at least one earned run in all of his outings.
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Priester’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
- In Priester’s seven starts, his team is 3-4.
- Priester has had seven starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and five of those outings finished over the total.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 64 | 66.1 | 78 | 2.04 | 0 | 38 |
| Dauri Moreta | 52 | 56.1 | 73 | 3.83 | 5 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 48 | 48.2 | 60 | 4.81 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 36 | 40.1 | 33 | 2.45 | 9 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 34 | 36 | 34 | 2.25 | 10 | 1 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 28-22 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Miami has gone 28-3 in its 31 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 115 times this season, and has a 68-47 record in those games.
- Miami has a 57-14 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins have drawn at least five walks in 37 games this season, and are 24-13 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 30-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has gone 26-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 55-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Pittsburgh has a 48-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 23 of their 45 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+126)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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