The Cincinnati Reds (82-78) will look to Noelvi Marte, on a 14-game hitting streak, against the St. Louis Cardinals (69-91) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, at Busch Stadium.
The Reds are the road favorite (-134) versus the Cardinals (+112). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of September 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -134 | +112 | 9 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won 24, or 57.1%, of the 42 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Cincinnati has won nine of its 17 games, or 52.9%, when favored by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 57.3%.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 78 of 160 opportunities.
- The Reds have an ATS record of 93-67-0 in 160 games with a spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.8 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 5.73 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have won in 35, or 42.2%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- St. Louis has a win-loss record of 21-27 when favored by +112 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 76 of its 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 159 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 73-86-0 against the spread.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.2 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 6.03 |
| K/9 | 6.5 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Connor Phillips
- Phillips’ team is 3-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday, Sept. 23.
- Phillips has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Phillips’ team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Phillips’ team is 3-1 when he starts this season.
- Games Phillips has started this season hit the over three times in four chances.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 71 | 75 | 69 | 3.24 | 23 | 3 |
| Alexis Diaz | 68 | 67.1 | 86 | 2.94 | 2 | 37 |
| Buck Farmer | 68 | 74 | 69 | 4.01 | 10 | 3 |
| Sam Moll | 66 | 61.1 | 67 | 3.08 | 9 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 64 | 59.2 | 71 | 3.17 | 23 | 3 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Drew Rom
- Rom gets the start for the Cardinals, his eighth of the season. He is 1-4 with a 7.98 ERA and 25 strikeouts through 29 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Sunday, the left-hander went 3 1/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, allowing six earned runs while surrendering 11 hits.
- Rom is trying to collect his third start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Cardinals have been the moneyline underdog in five of Rom’s starts this season, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
- Rom’s team has a 2-5 record in his starts this season.
- Rom has had seven starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those games finished over the total.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 59 | 67 | 43 | 4.70 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 58 | 60 | 59 | 3.90 | 14 | 0 |
| John King | 32 | 35.1 | 18 | 3.82 | 11 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 31 | 35.2 | 50 | 2.52 | 2 | 13 |
| Zack Thompson | 16 | 66.1 | 72 | 4.48 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have hit two or more home runs in 55 games this season, and are 39-16 in those contests.
- Cincinnati has put up five or more extra-base hits in 42 games this season, and has gone 32-10 in those outings.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 103 games this season, and is 72-31 in those contests.
- Cincinnati is 73-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Reds have drawn five or more walks in 50 games this season, and are 26-24 in those contests.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 44 of the 67 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 34-7.
- They have a record of 64-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- St. Louis has won 59 of its 75 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 21-30 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+112)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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