Dodgers vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 30, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (99-61) will look to J.D. Martinez, riding a two-game homer streak, versus the San Francisco Giants (78-82) at 9:05 PM ET on Saturday, at Oracle Park.

The Giants are an underdog (+150 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Dodgers (-184). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The insights in this article reflect odds as of September 30, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -184 +150 8.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 135 times this season and won 86, or 63.7%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 32-17, a 65.3% win rate, when favored by -184 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 87 of 159 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 88-71-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 3.64
K/9 10.1

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (43.6%) in those games.
  • San Francisco has a mark of 3-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +150 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of its 160 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Giants are 71-89-0 against the spread in their 160 games that had a posted line this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2
HR 9
ERA 4.34
K/9 8

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Clayton Kershaw

  • When Kershaw starts, his team is 14-9-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, Sept. 24, when he threw five scoreless innings against the San Francisco Giants while allowing two hits.
  • In 23 starts this season, Kershaw has lasted five or more innings 18 times, with an average of 5.5 innings per appearance.
  • He is looking for his third appearance in a row with no earned runs allowed.
  • Kershaw’s team has a record of 16-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Kershaw has started, his team is 17-6.
  • In Kershaw’s 23 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 65 67.1 48 1.2 19 7
Evan Phillips 59 60.1 65 2.39 6 23
Caleb Ferguson 58 59.1 68 3.79 18 3
Ryan Brasier 57 59.2 56 3.02 11 2
Alex Vesia 55 49.2 64 4.35 10 1

Giants Probable Pitcher – Tristan Beck

  • The Giants will send Beck (3-3) out to make his fourth start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.05 ERA and 65 strikeouts through 80 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came in relief on Sunday when the righty tossed 4 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Beck is looking to collect his third start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in 19 of his 32 outings this season.
  • The Giants are 1-2 in Beck’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Beck’s team is 1-2 in his three starts.
  • Beck has started three games with a set total this season — his team has hit the over in all of them.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 68 66.2 86 2.97 0 38
Tyler Rogers 66 73 59 3.08 29 2
Taylor Rogers 58 51.1 63 3.33 12 2
Ryan Walker 35 59.1 77 3.34 3 1
Luke Jackson 33 33.1 43 2.7 4 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have hit at least two homers in 78 games this season, and are 58-20 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles has put up at least five extra-base hits in 46 games this season, and has gone 37-9 in those contests.
  • The club is 79-27 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles is 82-21 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers are 46-20 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They are 31-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-8.
  • In 87 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 58-29.
  • San Francisco has a 48-19 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 43 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 22-21

Dodgers vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-184)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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