The Toronto Blue Jays (89-71) will look to Brandon Belt, riding a two-game homer streak, against the Tampa Bay Rays (97-63) at 3:07 PM ET on Saturday, at Rogers Centre.
The Rays are an underdog away (+116) at the Blue Jays (-139). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of September 30, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -139 | +116 | 8.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- This season, the Blue Jays have won 66 out of the 119 games, or 55.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Toronto has a record of 40-31, a 56.3% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 58.2% chance to win.
- Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of its 160 games with a total this season.
- In 160 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 74-86-0 ATS.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 11.4 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have been victorious in 12, or 40%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Tampa Bay has won one of five games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 87 of its 160 opportunities.
- The Rays have an against the spread mark of 88-72-0 in 160 games with a line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.10 |
| K/9 | 11.7 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Hyun-Jin Ryu
- Ryu’s team is 5-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
- In 10 starts this season, Ryu has lasted five or more innings seven times, with an average of 4.9 innings per appearance.
- In 10 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
- Ryu’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-2.
- Ryu’s team is 6-4 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Ryu have a 7-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yimi Garcia | 71 | 65 | 79 | 4.15 | 19 | 3 |
| Tim Mayza | 68 | 52.1 | 51 | 1.38 | 22 | 1 |
| Erik Swanson | 66 | 64.2 | 74 | 3.06 | 29 | 4 |
| Jordan Hicks | 63 | 63.2 | 79 | 3.11 | 13 | 12 |
| Jordan Romano | 57 | 58 | 72 | 2.95 | 2 | 36 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Shawn Armstrong
- The Rays will send Armstrong (1-0) to the mound to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 1.41 ERA and 54 strikeouts over 51 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared in relief on Tuesday, when he tossed one inning against the Boston Red Sox, allowing no earned runs while giving up one hit.
- Armstrong, who averages 1.3 per appearance, has not pitched five or more innings in a start this season (in five starts).
- He has had 33 appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Rays have not been a moneyline underdog when Armstrong starts this season.
- Armstrong’s team is 4-1 in his five starts.
- Armstrong has had five starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in one of those games.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Poche | 65 | 60.2 | 61 | 2.23 | 22 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 62 | 55.2 | 64 | 3.4 | 8 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 58 | 51.1 | 76 | 3.16 | 15 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 54 | 65.1 | 53 | 3.17 | 12 | 2 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 48 | 44.1 | 68 | 2.64 | 2 | 25 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have put up two or more long balls in 49 games this season, and are 35-14 in those contests.
- Toronto has put up five or more extra-base hits in 35 games this season, and has gone 26-9 in those contests.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 114 games this season, and is 78-36 in those contests.
- Toronto has a 65-16 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 45 games this season, and are 31-14 in those contests.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 68 games this season and are 51-17 in those matchups.
- In 38 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 35-3.
- They have won 74 of the 106 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Tampa Bay has a 74-21 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 39 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-9
Blue Jays vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-139)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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