The New York Yankees (81-79) and Kansas City Royals (55-105) clash on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET.
The Yankees are a favorite (-134) against the Royals (+113). The game’s total is 9.5.
The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -134 | +113 | 9.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been favorites in 95 games this season and won 51 (53.7%) of those contests.
- New York has a record of 38-25 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of 160 games with a total.
- In 160 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 79-81-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 48, or 34.5%, of the 139 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Kansas City has been victorious 43 times in 126 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 78 of its 160 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Royals have posted a record of 72-88-0 against the spread this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.76 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt
- Schmidt’s team is 15-16-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed four innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- In 31 starts this season, Schmidt has lasted five or more innings 21 times, with an average of 4.8 innings per appearance.
- In 32 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- Schmidt’s team has won 47.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-11).
- Schmidt’s team has won 14 of his 31 starts.
- In Schmidt’s 31 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes | 63 | 62 | 69 | 2.61 | 5 | 23 |
| Keynan Middleton | 50 | 50.2 | 64 | 3.37 | 5 | 2 |
| Michael King | 39 | 100.2 | 126 | 2.50 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 34 | 56 | 68 | 2.73 | 4 | 2 |
| Nick Ramirez | 32 | 40.2 | 28 | 2.66 | 2 | 1 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Steven Cruz
- Cruz makes the start for the Royals, his fourth of the season. He is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance — out of the bullpen on Wednesday — the right-hander tossed two innings against the Detroit Tigers, allowing two earned runs without surrendering a hit.
- He has had six appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Royals won each of Cruz’s three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- All three of Cruz’s starts this season have ended in a win for his team.
- Cruz’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of three games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 59 | 69 | 76 | 5.35 | 16 | 4 |
| Taylor Clarke | 54 | 58 | 65 | 5.90 | 12 | 3 |
| Tucker Davidson | 37 | 51.1 | 46 | 5.96 | 2 | 2 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Kowar | 23 | 28 | 29 | 6.43 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have hit at least two homers in 80 games this season, and are 61-19 in those contests.
- New York has collected at least five extra-base hits in 25 games this season, and has gone 21-4 in those contests.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 92 times this season, and has a 63-29 record in those games.
- New York is 59-17 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Yankees are 32-21 over the 53 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won 22 of the 40 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-17.
- They have a record of 40-48 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 56 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 39-17.
- They have a 10-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Yankees vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-134)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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