The Chicago Cubs (82-78) take a four-game losing run into a road matchup versus the Milwaukee Brewers (91-69), at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Cubs are the road favorite (-127) versus the Brewers (+106). The total for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of September 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -127 | +106 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- This season, the Cubs have been favored 92 times and won 52, or 56.5%, of those games.
- Chicago has entered 62 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 41-21 in those contests.
- The Cubs have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 78 of its 160 games with a total this season.
- The Cubs are 76-84-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.0 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 9.8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in 38, or 54.3%, of the 70 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Milwaukee has been victorious 25 times in 52 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over in 71 of its 160 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Brewers are 82-78-0 against the spread in their 160 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.43 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jordan Wicks
- Wicks and his team have a record of 3-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Sunday.
- Wicks has started six games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Wicks’ team has won 83.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-1).
- In games Wicks has started, his team is 5-1.
- Out of Wicks’ six starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 68 | 72 | 98 | 3.38 | 17 | 2 |
| Jose Cuas | 68 | 65.1 | 71 | 3.99 | 10 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 67 | 64.1 | 77 | 3.50 | 28 | 4 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 56 | 64 | 67 | 2.67 | 7 | 22 |
| Daniel Palencia | 26 | 26.1 | 29 | 4.78 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Eric Lauer
- The Brewers are sending Lauer (4-5) to make his 10th start of the season. He is 4-5 with a 5.48 ERA and 41 strikeouts through 42 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, May 20, the lefty threw three innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, allowing six earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Lauer has pitched five or more innings in a game four times this year entering this matchup.
- In one of his nine total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
- The Brewers have a 3-3 record in Lauer’s six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Lauer’s nine starts, his team is 4-5.
- Lauer has started nine contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 71 | 63.1 | 58 | 1.99 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 66 | 69.2 | 76 | 2.58 | 27 | 3 |
| Andrew Chafin | 59 | 50 | 63 | 4.86 | 13 | 8 |
| Devin Williams | 59 | 57.2 | 85 | 1.56 | 0 | 36 |
| Bryse Wilson | 53 | 76.2 | 61 | 2.58 | 5 | 3 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have hit at least two dingers in 65 games this season, and are 41-24 in those outings.
- Chicago has had at least five extra-base hits in 32 games this season, and has gone 28-4 in those outings.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 102 times this season, and has a 71-31 record in those games.
- Chicago is 65-20 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Cubs are 29-22 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 56 games this season and are 46-10 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 63-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 83 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 73-10.
- They have a 42-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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