Rafael Devers will look for his 100th RBI (he has 99) when his Boston Red Sox (77-83) take on the Baltimore Orioles (100-60) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Red Sox are an underdog (+111 moneyline odds) when they take the field at the Orioles (-132). The total for the game is 8 total runs.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of September 30, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -132 | +111 | 8 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Orioles have won 54 out of the 80 games, or 67.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Baltimore has won 42 of its 57 games, or 73.7%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 81 of its 160 chances.
- The Orioles are 96-64-0 against the spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.38 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 36, or 43.4%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 26 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 47.4% chance of pulling out a win.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 82 of its 160 opportunities.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 75-85-0 in 160 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.61 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson and his team have a record of 22-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw seven innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits.
- In 32 starts, Gibson has pitched through or past the fifth inning 27 times. He has a season average of 5.8 frames per outing.
- He has made 32 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Gibson’s team has a record of 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Gibson’s team has a 19-13 record in his starts this season.
- Games Gibson has started this season hit the over 17 times in 32 chances.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 70 | 72.1 | 64 | 2.12 | 31 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 63 | 52.2 | 43 | 3.59 | 11 | 3 |
| Jorge López | 59 | 59 | 49 | 5.95 | 10 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 59 | 50.1 | 56 | 2.68 | 23 | 2 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 55 | 78 | 83 | 7.27 | 5 | 2 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- The Red Sox will send Crawford (6-8) out to make his 23rd start of the season. He is 6-8 with a 4.23 ERA and 128 strikeouts over 123 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Chicago White Sox, when the right-hander tossed 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Crawford is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.1 innings per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in seven of his 30 appearances this season.
- The Red Sox are 7-7 in Crawford’s 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Crawford’s team is 9-13 in his 22 starts.
- Crawford’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 12 of 22 games.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 57 | 83.1 | 80 | 2.81 | 19 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 49 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.63 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 46 | 49.2 | 57 | 3.26 | 4 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 43 | 45.2 | 52 | 3.94 | 10 | 1 |
| Mauricio Llovera | 29 | 34 | 28 | 4.24 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have a 43-14 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
- Baltimore has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 40 games this season, and has gone 37-3 in those outings.
- The team is 74-28 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Baltimore is 77-12 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Orioles are 31-9 in the 40 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 33-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 43 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 30-13.
- They have a record of 62-45 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has a 62-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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