The San Diego Padres (80-80) aim to prolong their three-game winning streak when they square off against the Chicago White Sox (61-99) on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET, at Guaranteed Rate Field.
The White Sox (+127 underdog moneyline odds to win) take the field at home against the Padres (-151). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs White Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -151 | +127 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 121 times and won 67, or 55.4%, of those games.
- San Diego has a record of 43-26, a 62.3% win rate, when favored by -151 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Padres have a 60.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of 160 opportunities.
- The Padres are 79-81-0 ATS in their 160 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.35 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
White Sox Betting Insights
- The White Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 113 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (32.7%) in those games.
- This year, Chicago has won 14 of 54 games when listed as at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 72 of its 160 opportunities.
- The White Sox have posted a record of 79-81-0 against the spread this season.
White Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.29 |
| K/9 | 6.5 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- Wacha’s team is 16-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs in seven innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Wacha has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has seven appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
- When Wacha starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-5.
- Wacha’s team has won 15 of his 23 starts.
- Games Wacha has started this season hit the over 12 times in 23 chances.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barlow | 60 | 67 | 78 | 4.43 | 7 | 13 |
| Josh Hader | 60 | 55.1 | 84 | 1.30 | 0 | 33 |
| Luís Garcia | 59 | 58.2 | 53 | 4.14 | 10 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 53 | 110.1 | 106 | 3.43 | 15 | 1 |
| Tom Cosgrove | 50 | 50.1 | 43 | 1.79 | 7 | 1 |
White Sox Probable Pitcher – Mike Clevinger
- Clevinger will aim for his 10th win when he gets the start for the White Sox, his 24th of the season. He is 9-8 with a 3.40 ERA and 108 strikeouts in 129 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last time out was on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Clevinger will try to build on a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing).
- He has made seven appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The White Sox have a 7-9 record in Clevinger’s 16 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Clevinger’s team has put together a 12-11 record over his 23 starts.
- Clevinger has had 23 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those outings.
White Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Bummer | 59 | 58.1 | 78 | 6.79 | 15 | 0 |
| Bryan Shaw | 36 | 43.2 | 40 | 4.33 | 4 | 4 |
| José Ruiz | 35 | 44.1 | 39 | 5.89 | 1 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 30 | 37.1 | 33 | 4.34 | 3 | 0 |
| Tanner Banks | 28 | 58.2 | 48 | 4.60 | 1 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have put up at least two long balls in 69 games this season, and are 42-27 in those outings.
- San Diego is 27-8 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has collected eight or more hits 88 times this season, and has a 61-27 record in those games.
- San Diego is 62-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres have drawn five or more walks in 63 games this season, and are 35-28 in those contests.
White Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 48 games this season and are 25-23 in those matchups.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-7.
- They have won 48 of the 93 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has won 43 of its 59 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-11
Padres vs. White Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-151)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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