Spencer Strider looks for his 20th victory of the year when the Atlanta Braves (103-57) host the Washington Nationals (70-90). First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET on Saturday.
The Braves are heavily favored (-382 on the moneyline to win) when they take on the Nationals (+303). The over/under for the game is 9 total runs.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of September 30, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -382 | +303 | 9 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 95, or 65.1%, of the 146 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -382 odds on them winning this game.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 79.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 91 of 160 games with a total.
- The Braves are 83-77-0 ATS in their 160 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.7 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 60, or 40.8%, of the 147 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have given Washington this season with a +303 moneyline set for this game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 24.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 76 of its 159 opportunities.
- In 159 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 84-75-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.32 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Strider
- When Strider starts, his team is 19-12-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Strider will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has six appearances with no earned runs allowed in 31 chances this season.
- Strider’s team has a record of 25-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Strider has started, his team is 25-6.
- In Strider’s 31 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 19 times.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 68 | 63.2 | 81 | 3.82 | 20 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 65 | 61.2 | 87 | 4.52 | 11 | 13 |
| Brad Hand | 59 | 53.1 | 59 | 5.23 | 4 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 58 | 59.1 | 80 | 3.34 | 8 | 5 |
| Joe Jiménez | 57 | 55.2 | 73 | 3.07 | 13 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Joan Adon
- Adon gets the start for the Nationals, his 10th of the season. He is 2-4 with a 6.42 ERA and 43 strikeouts over 47 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Adon has pitched five or more innings in a game five times this year entering this matchup.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 11 appearances this season.
- The Nationals are 4-4 in Adon’s eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Adon’s team is 5-4 over his nine starts.
- Adon’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of nine contests.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 65 | 68.1 | 62 | 3.69 | 8 | 27 |
| Hunter Harvey | 56 | 59.2 | 66 | 2.72 | 19 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 50 | 54.1 | 59 | 3.31 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 43 | 48.2 | 42 | 5.36 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 38 | 33.2 | 25 | 5.08 | 5 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 67-22 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Atlanta has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 45 games this season, and has gone 39-6 in those outings.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 113 games this season, and is 79-34 in those contests.
- Atlanta has an 83-23 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 30-12 in the 42 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 26 of the 41 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won 20 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 103 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 56-47.
- In 68 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 48-20.
- In 29 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-12
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-382)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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