The Miami Marlins (82-76) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-84) to open a three-game series at PNC Park, with first pitch at 6:35 PM ET on Friday. The Marlins are coming off a series split with the Mets, and the Pirates a series loss to the Phillies.
The Pirates are an underdog (+104 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Marlins (-124). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 29, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -124 | +104 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have been favored 71 times and won 41, or 57.7%, of those games.
- Miami is 36-18 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of its 158 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins are 72-86-0 ATS in their 158 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.26 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 55, or 43.3%, of the 127 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 49 times in 113 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 49% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 85 of 159 chances this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread record of 82-77-0 in 159 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 6.31 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Marlins or Pirates, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera
- Cabrera and his team have a record of 7-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits.
- Cabrera will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 21 chances this season.
- Cabrera’s team has a record of 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Cabrera’s team is 9-9 when he starts this season.
- In games Cabrera has started this season, the teams are 6-11-1 at hitting the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Robertson | 60 | 63.1 | 75 | 3.13 | 8 | 19 |
| Dylan Floro | 59 | 56.2 | 58 | 4.76 | 9 | 7 |
| Andrew Nardi | 58 | 56 | 71 | 2.57 | 17 | 3 |
| Steven Okert | 56 | 57 | 72 | 4.58 | 12 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 56 | 54.2 | 75 | 4.12 | 2 | 15 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Osvaldo Bido
- Bido gets the start for the Pirates, his ninth of the season. He is 2-5 with a 6.36 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance — in relief on Saturday, Aug. 26 — the right-hander tossed 2 1/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up eight earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Bido enters this game with two outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- In three of his 14 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Pirates are 2-6 in Bido’s eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Bido’s team has a 2-6 record in his starts this season.
- Bido has had eight starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those matchups.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 64 | 66.1 | 78 | 2.04 | 0 | 38 |
| Dauri Moreta | 52 | 56.1 | 73 | 3.83 | 5 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 48 | 48.2 | 60 | 4.81 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 35 | 39 | 32 | 2.54 | 8 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 33 | 35.1 | 34 | 2.29 | 10 | 1 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 28-22 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Miami is 28-3 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits 114 times this season, and has a 67-47 record in those games.
- Miami has a 57-14 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 24-13 over the 37 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 30-10 in those matchups.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 26-6.
- They have won 55 of the 79 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Pittsburgh has won 48 of its 61 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 23-22 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
