Ronald Acuna Jr. carries a 12-game hitting streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (103-56) game versus the Washington Nationals (69-90) at 7:20 PM ET on Friday, at Truist Park.
The Nationals are a big underdog (+228 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Braves (-283). The game’s total is set at 10.
The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of September 29, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -283 | +228 | 10 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 145 times this season and won 95, or 65.5%, of those games.
- Atlanta has entered 10 games this season favored by -283 or more and is 7-3 in those contests.
- The Braves have a 73.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 90 of its 159 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 83-76-0 ATS in their 159 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 59, or 40.4%, of the 146 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Washington has won three of nine games when listed as at least +228 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 30.5% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of its 158 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 83-75-0 against the spread in their 158 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Allan Winans
- When Winans starts, his team is 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Sunday.
- Winans will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in five chances this season.
- Winans’ team has a record of 2-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Winans’ team has won two of his five starts this season.
- Games Winans has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 68 | 63.2 | 81 | 3.82 | 20 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 65 | 61.2 | 87 | 4.52 | 11 | 13 |
| Brad Hand | 58 | 52.2 | 57 | 5.13 | 4 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 58 | 59.1 | 80 | 3.34 | 8 | 5 |
| Joe Jiménez | 57 | 55.2 | 73 | 3.07 | 13 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams gets the start for the Nationals, his 30th of the season. He is 6-10 with a 5.55 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 141 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last time out was on Saturday, Sept. 16 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he went two innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Williams has put together 18 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- In four of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in 26 of Williams’ starts this season, and they went 10-16 in those games.
- Williams’ team has won 13 of his 29 starts.
- Williams’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 12 of 28 contests.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 64 | 67.1 | 61 | 3.74 | 8 | 27 |
| Hunter Harvey | 55 | 58 | 64 | 2.79 | 19 | 10 |
| Jordan Weems | 49 | 53.1 | 58 | 3.21 | 7 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 42 | 48 | 41 | 5.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Ferrer | 37 | 33 | 24 | 4.64 | 5 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit at least two home runs in 89 games this season, and are 67-22 in those outings.
- Atlanta is 39-6 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 79-33 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- Atlanta is 83-22 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Braves are 30-12 in the 42 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 25-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has gone 19-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 55 of the 102 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 47 of its 67 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 17 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-283)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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