Francisco Lindor brings a two-game homer streak into the New York Mets’ (72-86) game against the Philadelphia Phillies (89-70) at 7:10 PM ET on Friday, at Citi Field.
The Mets play as a home underdog (+103) against the Phillies (-123). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of September 29, 2023 at 9:12 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -123 | +103 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 108 times and won 65, or 60.2%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 56-30 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 55.2% chance to win.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 73 of its 159 chances.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 72-87-0 in 159 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.72 |
| K/9 | 10 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (32.4%) in those contests.
- This season, New York has come away with a win 11 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 66 of its 159 opportunities.
- The Mets have an against the spread record of 73-86-0 in 159 games with a line this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.66 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- When Walker starts, his team is 17-13-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in six innings against the New York Mets.
- Walker will look to finish five or more innings for the 19th start in a row.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 30 chances this season.
- Walker’s team has been victorious in 78.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 15-4.
- Walker’s team has a 21-9 record in his starts this season.
- In Walker’s 30 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 13 times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 70 | 68 | 91 | 3.31 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 67 | 59.1 | 63 | 4.7 | 23 | 3 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 56 | 49.1 | 48 | 3.83 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 52 | 52 | 68 | 2.42 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 47 | 86.2 | 106 | 3.32 | 11 | 2 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill makes the start for the Mets, his 25th of the season. He is 8-8 with a 4.92 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 119 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Friday, the right-hander threw six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Megill will try to go five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging five innings per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 24 appearances this season.
- The Mets have a 6-10 record in Megill’s 16 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Megill’s team has won 10 of his 24 starts.
- Megill has started 24 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 65 | 60.2 | 61 | 2.97 | 12 | 11 |
| Brooks Raley | 64 | 54 | 59 | 2.83 | 24 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 62 | 58 | 62 | 4.19 | 10 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 61 | 55.1 | 60 | 4.23 | 12 | 3 |
| Phil Bickford | 60 | 66.1 | 73 | 5.02 | 4 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have hit two or more home runs in 61 games this season, and are 45-16 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 45 games this season, and has gone 35-10 in those outings.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits 103 times this season, and has a 67-36 record in those games.
- Philadelphia has a 67-17 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have gone 38-20 over the 58 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 34-23 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-6.
- In 88 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 58-30.
- New York has won 54 of its 74 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 18 of their 33 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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