Blue Jays vs. Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 29, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 29, 2023

The Tampa Bay Rays (97-62) visit the Toronto Blue Jays (88-71) in AL East action, at 7:07 PM ET on Friday.

The Blue Jays are favored (-132 on the moneyline) when they take the field at home against the Rays (+111). The matchup has an over/under of 8 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of September 29, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs Rays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -132 +111 8

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 118 times this season and won 65, or 55.1%, of those games.
  • Toronto has a record of 46-40 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 159 games with a total.
  • The Blue Jays are 73-86-0 against the spread in their 159 chances this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 12
ERA 3.17
K/9 11.3

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won in 12, or 41.4%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Tampa Bay has a mark of 2-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 86 of 159 chances this season.
  • The Rays are 88-71-0 against the spread in their 159 games that had a posted line this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 12
ERA 5.00
K/9 11.5

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi and his team have a record of 18-13-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed nine hits in four innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday.
  • In 31 starts, Kikuchi has pitched through or past the fifth inning 21 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He has four appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 31 chances this season.
  • Kikuchi’s team has won 57.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-8).
  • Kikuchi’s team has won 20 of his 31 starts this season.
  • Games Kikuchi has started this season hit the over 14 times in 31 chances.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yimi Garcia 70 64 77 4.22 19 3
Tim Mayza 68 52.1 51 1.38 22 1
Erik Swanson 66 64.2 74 3.06 29 4
Jordan Hicks 63 63.2 79 3.11 13 12
Génesis Cabrera 57 54.1 56 4.47 11 0

Rays Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale

  • Civale (7-4) gets the starting nod for the Rays in his 23rd start of the season. He’s put together a 3.43 ERA in 120 2/3 innings pitched, with 113 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday, Sept. 20, the right-hander tossed three innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Civale will look to record his 20th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.5 innings per appearance.
  • He has had five appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Rays are 4-3 in Civale’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Civale’s team has put together a 13-9 record in his 22 starts.
  • Civale’s starts hit the over on the run total 12 times in 22 games with a set total this season.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Colin Poche 64 59.2 59 2.26 22 1
Jake Diekman 62 55.2 64 3.40 8 0
Robert Stephenson 58 51.1 76 3.16 15 1
Kevin Kelly 54 65.1 53 3.17 12 2
Pete Fairbanks 48 44.1 68 2.64 2 25

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have hit at least two homers in 48 games this season, and are 34-14 in those contests.
  • Toronto is 25-9 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 77-36 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
  • Toronto is 64-16 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 45 games this season, and are 31-14 in those contests.

Rays Hitting Trends

  • They have won 51 of the 68 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 35-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 74-32 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Tampa Bay has a 74-21 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 39 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 30-9

Blue Jays vs. Rays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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