The Boston Red Sox hope to stop their five-game losing run versus the Baltimore Orioles (100-59), on Friday at 7:05 PM ET.
The Orioles (+102 underdog moneyline odds) play at home against the Red Sox (-122). The game’s total is set at 8.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of September 29, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -122 | +102 | 8 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- This season, the Red Sox have won 38 out of the 74 games, or 51.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Boston has entered 54 games this season favored by -122 or more and is 30-24 in those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
- Games involving Boston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 82 of 159 chances this season.
- In 159 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 74-85-0 ATS.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.99 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won in 46, or 58.2%, of the 79 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Baltimore has been victorious 34 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 159 chances this season.
- The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 96-63-0 in 159 games with a line this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.79 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta
- Pivetta’s team is 6-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed seven innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Pivetta has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished 14 appearances without allowing an earned run in 37 chances this season.
- Pivetta’s team has a record of 2-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Pivetta’s team has won six of his 15 starts this season.
- Games started by Pivetta have a 5-10-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 57 | 83.1 | 80 | 2.81 | 19 | 3 |
| Chris Martin | 55 | 51.1 | 46 | 1.05 | 23 | 3 |
| Kenley Jansen | 49 | 44.2 | 52 | 3.63 | 0 | 29 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 46 | 49.2 | 57 | 3.26 | 4 | 0 |
| John Schreiber | 43 | 45.2 | 52 | 3.94 | 10 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – John Means
- Means (1-1 with a 2.60 ERA and six strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his fourth of the season.
- In his last appearance on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, the lefty threw 7 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering one hit.
- Means is trying for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 innings per start.
- The Orioles were named the moneyline underdog for one Means start this season — they won.
- Means’ team has put together a 2-1 record in his three starts.
- Means’ starts hit the over on the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeinier Cano | 70 | 72.1 | 64 | 2.12 | 31 | 8 |
| Cionel Pérez | 63 | 52.2 | 43 | 3.59 | 11 | 3 |
| Danny Coulombe | 59 | 50.1 | 56 | 2.68 | 23 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 58 | 57.1 | 47 | 6.12 | 10 | 3 |
| Shintaro Fujinami | 54 | 77 | 82 | 7.25 | 5 | 2 |
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- The Red Sox have racked up two or more dingers in 49 games this season, and are 33-16 in those contests.
- Boston is 30-13 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 107 times this season, and has a 62-45 record in those games.
- Boston has a 62-17 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Red Sox are 17-14 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 57 games this season and are 43-14 in those matchups.
- Baltimore has gone 37-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 74 of the 102 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Baltimore has a 77-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 31-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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