The New York Yankees (81-78) and Kansas City Royals (54-105) clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Kauffman Stadium, at 8:10 PM ET. The Yankees are coming off a series victory over the Blue Jays, and the Royals a series loss to the Tigers.
The Royals play as a home underdog (+127) against the Yankees (-153). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of September 29, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -153 | +127 | 9.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 51 out of the 94 games, or 54.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 28-12, a 70% win rate, when favored by -153 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 60.5% chance to win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of 159 opportunities.
- The Yankees have an ATS record of 79-80-0 in 159 games with a spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 47, or 34.1%, of the 138 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Kansas City has won 33 of 103 games when listed as at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 77 of 159 chances this season.
- The Royals are 71-88-0 against the spread in their 159 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon
- Rodon’s team is 3-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Rodon has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- When Rodon starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-7.
- Rodon’s team has won three of his 13 starts.
- In Rodon’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Holmes | 63 | 62 | 69 | 2.61 | 5 | 23 |
| Michael King | 39 | 100.2 | 126 | 2.50 | 8 | 6 |
| Ian Hamilton | 34 | 56 | 68 | 2.73 | 4 | 2 |
| Nick Ramirez | 31 | 39.2 | 28 | 2.72 | 2 | 1 |
| Greg Weissert | 15 | 18.1 | 19 | 4.42 | 1 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles gets the start for the Royals, his 31st of the season. He is 5-17 with a 6.13 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 171 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the right-hander tossed five scoreless innings against the Houston Astros while surrendering two hits.
- Lyles will look to extend a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per appearance).
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 27 of Lyles’ starts this season, and they went 6-21 in those games.
- Lyles’ team has put together a 6-24 record over his 30 starts.
- Lyles’ starts went over the run total 15 times in 30 games with a set total this season.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 59 | 69 | 76 | 5.35 | 16 | 4 |
| Taylor Clarke | 54 | 58 | 65 | 5.90 | 12 | 3 |
| Tucker Davidson | 36 | 50.1 | 45 | 6.08 | 2 | 2 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Kowar | 23 | 28 | 29 | 6.43 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have hit at least two homers in 80 games this season, and are 61-19 in those outings.
- New York is 21-4 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 63-28 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- New York is 59-16 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Yankees have gone 32-21 over the 53 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won 21 of the 39 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Kansas City has won 17 of its 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 87 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 39-48.
- Kansas City has a 38-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Yankees vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-153)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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