William Contreras brings a 15-game hitting streak into the Milwaukee Brewers’ (90-69) game against the Chicago Cubs (82-77) at 8:10 PM ET on Friday, at American Family Field.
The Brewers (-115 moneyline odds to win) meet the Cubs (-105) in an expected tight contest. The over/under for this game is 8.5.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of September 29, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -115 | -105 | 8.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 88 games this season and won 51 (58%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee has a record of 47-33 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 53.5% chance to win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 159 games with a total this season.
- In 159 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 81-78-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.28 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have come away with 29 wins in the 66 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Chicago has won 27 of 61 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 78 of its 159 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 159 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 76-83-0 against the spread.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea and his team have a record of 13-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, throwing one scoreless inning of relief without allowing a hit.
- Rea has started 21 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 16 times. He averages 4.8 innings per appearance.
- He has made 25 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Rea’s team has a record of 4-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Rea’s team has a 13-8 record in his starts this season.
- Games Rea has started this season hit the over 11 times in 21 chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 71 | 63.1 | 58 | 1.99 | 17 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 66 | 69.2 | 76 | 2.58 | 27 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 59 | 57.2 | 85 | 1.56 | 0 | 36 |
| Andrew Chafin | 59 | 50 | 63 | 4.86 | 13 | 8 |
| Bryse Wilson | 52 | 75.2 | 60 | 2.62 | 4 | 3 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks
- Hendricks (6-8 with a 3.80 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 132 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cubs, his 24th of the season.
- The right-hander last appeared on Thursday, Sept. 21 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he threw six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up seven hits.
- Hendricks will aim to pitch five or more innings for his 10th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Cubs have been the moneyline underdog in 11 of Hendricks’ starts this season, and they went 5-6 in those games.
- Hendricks’ team has a 12-11 record in his starts this season.
- Hendricks has had 23 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those outings hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 67 | 70.1 | 96 | 3.45 | 17 | 2 |
| Jose Cuas | 67 | 65 | 71 | 4.02 | 10 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 66 | 63.2 | 77 | 3.53 | 28 | 4 |
| Daniel Palencia | 26 | 26.1 | 29 | 4.78 | 2 | 0 |
| Hayden Wesneski | 23 | 87.2 | 80 | 4.41 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have racked up at least two long balls in 56 games this season, and are 46-10 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has put up five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and won every time.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 82 times this season, and has a 62-20 record in those games.
- Milwaukee is 73-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers are 41-13 in the 54 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 41-23 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 32 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 28-4.
- In 102 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 71-31.
- Chicago has a 65-20 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 51 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 29-22
Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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