The Detroit Tigers (76-83) host the Cleveland Guardians (75-84) in AL Central action, at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.
The Guardians are projected as a tight favorite (-113 moneyline odds) against the Tigers (-107). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of September 29, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -113 | -107 | 8.5 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 77 times and won 39, or 50.6%, of those games.
- Cleveland is 36-36 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 53.1%.
- So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of 158 games with a total.
- The Guardians have an ATS record of 81-77-0 in 158 games with a spread this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have won in 51, or 42.9%, of the 119 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Detroit has won 48 of 116 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of its 160 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Tigers are 87-73-0 against the spread in their 160 games that had a posted line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill
- Quantrill and his team have a record of 7-11-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in four innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
- In 18 starts, Quantrill has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
- In 18 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Quantrill’s team has won 28.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-5).
- Quantrill’s team has won eight of his 18 starts this season.
- Games Quantrill has started this season hit the over five times in 18 chances.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 72 | 71.2 | 64 | 3.14 | 0 | 43 |
| Trevor Stephan | 69 | 67.2 | 73 | 4.12 | 28 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 68 | 63.2 | 61 | 3.39 | 15 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 64 | 65 | 82 | 3.32 | 21 | 6 |
| Eli Morgan | 60 | 66.1 | 74 | 3.80 | 8 | 1 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz
- Wentz (3-12) takes the mound first for the Tigers in his 19th start of the season. He’s put together a 6.45 ERA in 103 1/3 innings pitched, with 96 strikeouts.
- His last appearance came out of the bullpen on Saturday when the lefty threw 5 2/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Wentz has pitched five or more innings in a game 10 times this year heading into this game.
- In two of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Tigers are 6-13 in Wentz’s 19 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Wentz’s team has a 5-13 record over his 18 starts.
- Wentz has had 19 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those games.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 69 | 69 | 55 | 2.61 | 28 | 7 |
| Alex Lange | 64 | 64.1 | 76 | 3.78 | 5 | 25 |
| José Cisnero | 60 | 57.1 | 67 | 5.49 | 14 | 2 |
| Tyler Holton | 55 | 82.1 | 74 | 2.19 | 13 | 1 |
| Will Vest | 42 | 46.1 | 55 | 3.11 | 10 | 2 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have hit two or more round-trippers in 30 games this season, and are 21-9 in those outings.
- Cleveland has gone 21-7 in its 28 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 52-47 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Cleveland is 44-16 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Guardians have gone 21-18 over the 39 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 46 games this season and are 32-14 in those matchups.
- In 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-6.
- In 91 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 66-25.
- Detroit has a 54-15 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 26 of their 39 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Tigers (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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