The Cincinnati Reds (81-78) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (69-90) in NL Central action, at 8:15 PM ET on Friday.
The Reds are favored away from home (-125) versus the Cardinals (+100). The over/under for this game is 9.5.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of September 29, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -125 | +100 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have won 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Cincinnati has a record of 12-11, a 52.2% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 55.6% chance to win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 77 of its 159 games with a total this season.
- The Reds are 92-67-0 against the spread in their 159 chances this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.73 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (42.7%) in those games.
- This year, St. Louis has won 28 of 64 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of its 158 opportunities.
- The Cardinals have posted a record of 73-85-0 against the spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.1 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 6.3 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- Williamson and his team are 12-10-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Williamson has made 14 starts of five or more innings in 22 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 22 chances this season.
- Williamson has started four games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- Williamson’s team has won 12 of his 22 starts this season.
- Out of Williamson’s 22 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 71 | 75 | 69 | 3.24 | 23 | 3 |
| Alexis Diaz | 68 | 67.1 | 86 | 2.94 | 2 | 37 |
| Buck Farmer | 68 | 74 | 69 | 4.01 | 10 | 3 |
| Sam Moll | 66 | 61.1 | 67 | 3.08 | 9 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 64 | 59.2 | 71 | 3.17 | 23 | 3 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jake Woodford
- Woodford gets the start for the Cardinals, his eighth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 5.09 ERA and 29 strikeouts over 46 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Sunday, the right-hander threw 3 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Woodford is looking to record his fourth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- In five of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Cardinals have a 1-4 record in Woodford’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Woodford’s team is 3-4 in his seven starts.
- Woodford has started seven games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 59 | 67 | 43 | 4.70 | 14 | 0 |
| Drew VerHagen | 58 | 60 | 59 | 3.90 | 14 | 0 |
| John King | 32 | 35.1 | 18 | 3.82 | 11 | 0 |
| Ryan Helsley | 31 | 35.2 | 50 | 2.52 | 2 | 13 |
| Zack Thompson | 16 | 66.1 | 72 | 4.48 | 1 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have racked up two or more home runs in 54 games this season, and are 38-16 in those outings.
- Cincinnati is 31-10 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 102 games this season, and is 71-31 in those contests.
- Cincinnati is 72-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Reds have gone 26-24 over the 50 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They are 44-23 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 34-7.
- They have a record of 64-40 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- St. Louis has won 59 of its 75 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 51 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-30
Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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