Week 4 of the NFL season features Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks facing the New York Giants at 8:15 PM ET on Monday.
Geno Smith Player Props vs the Giants
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257.5 | -105 | 1.5 | -120 | 12.5 | -115 | +650 |
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|
| 257.5 | -105 | 12.5 | -115 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 2 | 1 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Geno Smith’s Passing Trends
- This year Smith has collected 736 passing yards (245.3 per game) while going 71-for-103 (68.9% completion percentage) and throwing four touchdowns and one interception.
- Smith ranks 14th in the league with 7.1 yards per attempt passing (736 total yards passing).
- Smith ranks 25th in the NFL with 736 passing yards, and 16th with four touchdowns.
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Smith’s Rushing Trends
- Smith has also figured in the ground game, with 22 rushing yards (7.3 ypg) on eight carries.
- He averages 2.8 yards per carry (22 yards on eight attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Smith (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Giants (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257.5+ Passing Yards | 66.7% | 33.9% | 33.3% | 54.2% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 79.5% | 66.7% | 89.1% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 33.3% | 35.4% | 33.3% | 33.6% |
| 12.5+ Rushing Yards | 33.3% | 95.3% | 100% | 57.7% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 31.8% | 75% | 22.7% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 9.9% | 25% | 7.5% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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