Joshua Kelley: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 4 Chargers Vs Raiders – October 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 28, 2023

Joshua Kelley’s Los Angeles Chargers will take on the Las Vegas Raiders at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday in Week 4 of the 2023 NFL campaign.

Joshua Kelley Player Props vs the Raiders

Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
54.5 -110 7.5 -120
Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout
54.5 -110 7.5 -120

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 0 0
Games w/ 1+ TDs 1 0
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0 0

Joshua Kelley’s Rushing Trends

  • Joshua Kelley’s team-high 142 rushing yards (47.3 per game) have come on 40 carries, with one touchdown.
  • He picks up 3.6 rushing yards per attempt, 30th in the league.
  • Kelley’s 142 rushing yards are good for 25th in the league, and his one TD on the ground ranks 19th.

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Kelley’s Receiving Trends

  • Kelley also averages 1.7 receiving yards per game, grabbing one pass for 5 yards.
  • Kelley is averaging 5.0 yards per catch this season, with five yards on one reception.

This Week’s Predictions

Kelley (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Raiders (2023) Prediction
54.5+ Rushing Yards 33.3% 41.6% 33.3% 34.3%
1+ Rushing TDs 33.3% 32.9% 16.7% 29.1%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 9.4% 0% 1.2%
7.5+ Receiving Yards 0% 93.3% 90% 34.2%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 20.1% 30% 10%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3.1% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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