Padres vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 29, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 28, 2023

The San Diego Padres (79-80) and Chicago White Sox (61-98) clash on Friday at 7:40 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field.

The Padres are a favorite (-147) against the White Sox (+122). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 29, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -147 +122 8.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 120 games this season and won 66 (55%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 45-31, a 59.2% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
  • Games involving San Diego has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 66 of 159 chances this season.
  • The Padres are 79-80-0 against the spread in their 159 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 13
ERA 2.25
K/9 9.8

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have been victorious in 37, or 33%, of the 112 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Chicago has a mark of 21-44 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 72 of its 159 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The White Sox are 78-81-0 against the spread in their 159 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.5
HR 7
ERA 4.39
K/9 6.0

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Nick Martinez

  • Martinez and his team have a record of 3-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander allowed two hits in four scoreless innings pitched against the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday.
  • Martinez has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings three times. He averages 1.7 innings per appearance.
  • If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to four.
  • Martinez’s team has a record of 3-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Martínez’s team has a 4-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Martínez’s nine starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Josh Hader 59 54.1 84 1.16 0 32
Scott Barlow 59 66 77 4.50 6 13
Luís Garcia 58 58.1 53 4.17 9 0
Nick Martínez 53 105.1 98 3.59 15 1
Tom Cosgrove 49 49.2 43 1.81 6 1

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Dylan Cease

  • Cease makes the start for the White Sox, his 33rd of the season. He is 7-8 with a 4.71 ERA and 207 strikeouts in 172 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, when he went seven scoreless innings while allowing six hits.
  • Cease will try to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing.
  • He has had three appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
  • The White Sox are 7-10 in Cease’s 17 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Cease’s team has put together a 16-16 record over his 32 starts.
  • Cease has started 32 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 16 of them.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Aaron Bummer 59 58.1 78 6.79 15 0
Bryan Shaw 35 42.2 40 4.43 4 4
José Ruiz 35 44.1 39 5.89 1 0
Yohan Ramirez 29 36.2 32 3.93 3 0
Tanner Banks 28 58.2 48 4.60 1 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have a 42-27 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • San Diego is 27-8 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits 88 times this season, and has a 61-27 record in those games.
  • San Diego is 62-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 34-28 in the 62 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They are 25-22 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 18-7.
  • They have won 48 of the 92 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Chicago has a 43-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 8-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-147)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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