The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-75) and Houston Astros (87-72) square off on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Chase Field.
The Diamondbacks are favored (-122 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Astros (+103). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.
The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of September 29, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -122 | +103 | 9.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have won 43, or 59.7%, of the 72 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Arizona has a record of 39-20, a 66.1% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of 159 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 87-72-0 in 159 games with a spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.97 |
| K/9 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been underdogs in 42 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (64.3%) in those contests.
- Houston has a win-loss record of 16-12 when favored by +103 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 84 of its 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 159 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 78-81-0 against the spread.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 11.1 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen
- Gallen and his team are 18-15-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed three hits in six scoreless innings against the New York Yankees.
- Gallen has pitched five or more innings in 23 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 33 appearances and finished eight of them without allowing an earned run.
- Gallen’s team has won 65.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (15-8).
- Gallen’s team has a 19-14 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Gallen’s 33 starts with a total this season, 18 have hit the over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 70 | 63 | 58 | 4.43 | 13 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 65 | 60.2 | 80 | 3.12 | 0 | 34 |
| Kyle Nelson | 63 | 55.2 | 66 | 3.88 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 59 | 64.1 | 69 | 2.52 | 8 | 4 |
| Joe Mantiply | 30 | 38 | 26 | 4.74 | 1 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Jose Urquidy
- The Astros are sending Urquidy (2-3) to make his 10th start of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 43 strikeouts through 57 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out — out of the bullpen on Sunday — the righty tossed three scoreless innings against the Kansas City Royals without surrendering a hit.
- Urquidy is trying to collect his fifth start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 15 appearances this season.
- The Astros have been the moneyline underdog in three of Urquidy’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
- Urquidy’s team is 4-5 over his nine starts.
- Urquidy’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of nine games.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 69 | 71 | 99 | 1.77 | 24 | 4 |
| Héctor Neris | 67 | 65.2 | 76 | 1.78 | 29 | 2 |
| Kendall Graveman | 66 | 66 | 66 | 3.14 | 12 | 8 |
| Rafael Montero | 66 | 66.1 | 78 | 5.02 | 10 | 1 |
| Phil Maton | 65 | 64 | 72 | 3.09 | 8 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have hit at least two long balls in 48 games this season, and are 34-14 in those outings.
- Arizona has gone 23-7 in its 30 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 109 times this season, and has a 75-34 record in those games.
- Arizona has a 68-19 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks have gone 26-24 in the 50 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They are 42-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 39 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 29-10.
- They have won 80 of the 110 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Houston has won 75 of its 91 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 40-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-122)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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