The Philadelphia Phillies (89-69) aim to extend their seven-game winning streak when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-84) on Thursday at 6:05 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Pirates (+185 underdog on the moneyline) visit the Phillies (-227). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of September 28, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -227 | +185 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 107 times this season and won 65, or 60.7%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has a record of 8-3, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -227 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 69.4%.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 73 of 158 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 72-86-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.05 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 54, or 42.9%, of the 126 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 4-7 when favored by +185 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 85 of 158 chances this season.
- The Pirates are 81-77-0 against the spread in their 158 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.72 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Phillies or Pirates, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler and his team are 14-17-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up three earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in 19 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 31 chances this season.
- Wheeler’s team has a record of 16-11 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Wheeler’s team has a 19-12 record in his starts this season.
- In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 14-15-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 69 | 67 | 89 | 3.36 | 7 | 23 |
| Gregory Soto | 67 | 59.1 | 63 | 4.70 | 23 | 3 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 56 | 49.1 | 48 | 3.83 | 13 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 51 | 51 | 68 | 2.47 | 11 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 46 | 85.2 | 105 | 3.15 | 11 | 2 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Luis Ortiz
- Ortiz (4-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 81 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his 15th of the season.
- His last time out was out of the bullpen on Friday when the right-hander threw 3 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Ortiz heads into this matchup with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- He allowed at least one earned run in all of his outings in 2023.
- The Pirates are 6-7 in Ortiz’s 13 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Ortiz’s team is 6-8 in his 14 starts.
- Ortiz has started 14 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 63 | 65.1 | 76 | 2.07 | 0 | 37 |
| Dauri Moreta | 51 | 55 | 72 | 3.93 | 4 | 1 |
| Jose Hernandez | 48 | 48.2 | 60 | 4.81 | 5 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 34 | 38.1 | 32 | 2.58 | 7 | 0 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 32 | 34.1 | 33 | 2.10 | 9 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 45-16 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Philadelphia has put up five or more extra-base hits in 45 games this season, and has gone 35-10 in those contests.
- The team is 67-36 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 67-17 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 58 games this season, and are 38-20 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 30 of the 40 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has gone 26-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 78 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 54-24.
- Pittsburgh has won 48 of its 61 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 45 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 23-22
Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-227)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
